Good reads from around the Web.
Well here’s something I’ve not seen before – archive footage of a relatively youthful Warren Buffett discussing some long-forgotten bout of stock market turbulence.
For the first time I get a real sense of why not everyone who encountered the young Buffett and his already amazing results invested with him.
Instead of today’s cuddly grandpa billionaire, we see just the hint of a young buck on the make. Without the benefit of hindsight, we may even see a sharp-suited spiv!
In Buffett’s biography The Snowball there’s a very interesting passage on how some potential investors who met Buffett thought he was too good to be true – that he was running a Ponzi scheme.
That’s why friends and family were the main backers of his early partnerships. They had more reason to trust him.
While I’m as big a fan of Buffett as anyone, I think this charming video is yet more evidence of why the chances of you finding the next Buffett are near-zero.
Even if you’re lucky enough to encounter him or her at a party or in an airport lounge, you’ll probably think he’s set to rip you off. And surely anyone who goes on to deliver Buffett’s long-term record is going to have some rough edges in the early days.
You’d be wise to distrust them, too. Whether by design or luck, the world doesn’t turn out many Warren Buffetts.
Is the bond market finally rolling over?
Just a quick extra note to say that Buffett might have another crash to opine about soon, and that’s a bond market crash.
Whisper it (although many are shouting it) but the first cracks do seem to be opening up at last.
Here are a few links on the subject:
- How central banks drove down bond yields everywhere – Schroders
- Good graph showing how the yield curve collapsed – Business Insider
- These low yields helped support stock market valuations – Motley Fool US
- But US bonds now yield more than stocks again… – Abnormal Returns
- …and emerging market bonds could be the canary in coal mine – Telegraph
Who knows if this will be yet another false start for the end of the great 30-year bond market bull run. The asset class has made more comebacks than Madonna.
But one company that must be feeling pretty smug is Apple.