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Why your relatives will be glad you’re a DIY investor

close relative of mine has reached retirement age and she needs help with her finances. The situation is not great:

  • A settlement left her with a modest pot that must last her the rest of her life.
  • She now handles her own financial affairs after decades of delegating that trust.
  • While she can shish-kebab a bargain at 20 paces and haggle like a souk trader, she has no experience of the complex financial decisions she now faces. Tripwires are everywhere.
  • She’s terrified of the stock market and sits mostly in cash. Like most people, she can’t equate inflation’s slowly corrosive impact with her eventual ruin.
  • Tentative consultations with financial advisors have taught her enough to be wary.
  • She’s scrambled by a fad-hungry media that treats investing like fashion. The constant switchback of advice leaves her prey to so-called ‘experts’ who offer to make sense of it all.

The reality is she has run out of track. The pot struggles to generate enough income in a low-interest rate world. Inflation is eroding it, but equities are too risky: there’s no crumple zone to absorb a stock market crash.

Spending less is the only emergency lever left to pull (and it’s not like the ambition level was particularly grand to start with). It’s too late to work longer or save more.

DIY investors can help retiring relatives

What a mess

As the holes in the safety net widen and more people are increasingly being left to fend for themselves, DIY investors like us will need to fill in the gaps.

It’s an unnerving responsibility. My own retirement is many years away, so plenty of the details can be left to ferment in a tank marked ‘the distant future’.

But in this role, precision guidance is needed. My relative’s problems need definite answers but, as it turns out, a caring amateur can do a better job than a careless professional…

As I excavated the stack of valuation statements, brochures, and key feature documents, I uncovered a haphazard clutch of active funds and insurance bonds full of stuff that my relative would never have chosen for herself.

It turns out she is 20% in equities. Plus every shade of corporate bond right down to junk, distressed companies, futures, and the same high-yielding UK blue chips in fund after fund – HSBC, BP, Glaxo, Vodafone, Royal Dutch Shell, BAT, and so on.

The usual suspects staff the top 10 holdings in no less than eight of her funds! That’s more redundancy than in the Greek civil service.

The incoherence of it all makes me angry. There’s no strategy, no sense of an architect who has carefully designed an investment machine that operates in all weathers, while taking into account the needs and abilities of its owner.

It’s just a Katamari ball of a portfolio that has rolled around picking up whatever sounds good and pays juicy commission to previous advisers.

Meanwhile the key feature documents all play the same soothing marketing lullaby:

Achieve a sustainable level of income combined with the prospect of long-term capital growth.

Beautifully chosen words that press the retiree’s happy buttons while amounting to absolutely naff all.

The brochure risk indicators offer further reassurance with middling scores that tell you nothing about the risks of putting eight near-identical funds in the same portfolio! Like state propaganda, it’s so much window-dressing that provides cover for misdeeds.

You could blame it all on my relative for not having the nous or desire to rigorously research and question all that they have been told.

Or you could imagine yourself next time you’re handed a bill for the repair of your car. Squinting at the list of meaningless charges and hoping that the reason you can’t see any cowboy hats is because you don’t know any cowboys.

So what to do…?

The primary goal of the strategy I’m working on for my relative is to meet her minimum spending needs while removing as much risk from the equation as possible.

The impact of inflation, stock market volatility, tax, the state pension and a long-lived retirement all need to be taken into account.

The product costs need to be dramatically reduced and the advisors who are still siphoning off commission must be unhooked. I’ll need to be wary of any exit charges here.

Annuitisation is looking inevitable, but a rump of the portfolio will remain to cover the unforeseen.

I want to keep this rump simple so my relative can understand what each component part is for. Hopefully this will provide some kind of defence against future temptations to mess. Maintenance needs to be a doddle, too.

Fancy stuff like desired spending needs and legacies can be dreamt about once we’ve secured the minimum spending floor.

I’ll report back once I’ve firmed up the strategy. In the meantime please do let me know in the comments below about your experiences in this realm – either securing your own retirement or the retirement of someone close to you.

I’d be fascinated to learn what others have done in this situation.

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

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Weekend reading

Good reads from around the Web.

Well here’s something I’ve not seen before – archive footage of a relatively youthful Warren Buffett discussing some long-forgotten bout of stock market turbulence.

For the first time I get a real sense of why not everyone who encountered the young Buffett and his already amazing results invested with him.

Instead of today’s cuddly grandpa billionaire, we see just the hint of a young buck on the make. Without the benefit of hindsight, we may even see a sharp-suited spiv!

In Buffett’s biography The Snowball there’s a very interesting passage on how some potential investors who met Buffett thought he was too good to be true – that he was running a Ponzi scheme.

That’s why friends and family were the main backers of his early partnerships. They had more reason to trust him.

While I’m as big a fan of Buffett as anyone, I think this charming video is yet more evidence of why the chances of you finding the next Buffett are near-zero.

Even if you’re lucky enough to encounter him or her at a party or in an airport lounge, you’ll probably think he’s set to rip you off. And surely anyone who goes on to deliver Buffett’s long-term record is going to have some rough edges in the early days.

You’d be wise to distrust them, too. Whether by design or luck, the world doesn’t turn out many Warren Buffetts.

Is the bond market finally rolling over?

Just a quick extra note to say that Buffett might have another crash to opine about soon, and that’s a bond market crash.

Whisper it (although many are shouting it) but the first cracks do seem to be opening up at last.

Here are a few links on the subject:

  • How central banks drove down bond yields everywhere – Schroders
  • Good graph showing how the yield curve collapsed – Business Insider
  • These low yields helped support stock market valuations – Motley Fool US
  • But US bonds now yield more than stocks again… – Abnormal Returns
  • …and emerging market bonds could be the canary in coal mine – Telegraph

Who knows if this will be yet another false start for the end of the great 30-year bond market bull run. The asset class has made more comebacks than Madonna.

But one company that must be feeling pretty smug is Apple.

[continue reading…]

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Four new ETFs from Vanguard

Vanguard’s new ETFs add to its cheap-as-chips range

I am sometimes asked whether Monevator is a stealth site run by Vanguard to promote its activities in the UK.

Chance would be a fine thing!

So far not one of the pennies collected by the Monevator Empire has sallied forth from Vanguard’s coffers, so far as I’m aware.

Indeed, it’s a bit of a sad reflection of the UK financial media that some people’s first thought is that if you’re writing about a product or investment, you must be being paid by that company to do so.

Now don’t get me wrong – I’d absolutely love the opportunity to run Vanguard advertising on this website.

But even in the absence of such a pleasant happenstance, we’ll continue to write about the best products and services for the likes of you and me – and right now that means heavy lashings of whatever is being served up by the private investor friendly Vanguard.

Cheap as chips

My co-blogger The Accumulator spent the weekend helping his extended family with its finances – whether by going through their accounts or offloading their junk at a car boot sale he didn’t say – and so he requested a week off posting duties.

I know! Slacker.

In his stead I’d like to draw your attention to four new ETFs that Vanguard has just brought to the UK market.

ETF name Ticker TER
Vanguard FTSE Developed Europe UCITS ETF VEUR 0.15%
Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF VAPX 0.22%
Vanguard FTSE Japan UCITS ETF VJPN 0.19%
Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF VHYL 0.29%

Note: TER figures from Vanguard.

These Vanguard ETFs are all physically-backed funds – as opposed to the synthetic funds that some commentators consider more risky.

You can find out more information (including a prospectus and factsheet for each fund) at Vanguard’s website.

Rampant Vanguard-ism

The launch of these new ETFs seems a tad opportunistic for Vanguard.

I’ve heard more investors talking about Japan this year than in the previous five years put together, and now along comes a very cheap ETF from Vanguard that enables you to get exposure.

The Developed Europe ETF, with its TER of 0.15%, is also a very competitive offering. It’s certainly cheaper than its closest iShares equivalents, and with 499 holdings according to the factsheet I’m pretty sure it’s more diversified, too. (It does have over one-third of its money in UK shares, so keep that in mind when figuring out your overall asset allocation if your idea of Europe is more like UKIP’s!)

But I think that the new High Dividend Yield ETF could be the most interesting of the bunch, at a time when yield-chasing is still so rampant.

Holding over 1,000 globally distributed stocks (albeit with one-third of the index in the US, reflecting the large size of that market, and another 13% in the UK, perhaps on account of our emphasis on yield) this new ETF could be a cheap one-shot way to create a diversified equity income stream.

The factsheet is touting a forecast dividend yield of 4%. Time will tell if that’s what anyone purchasing this ETF actually receives.

Indeed as this ETF is brand spanking new, you’ll probably want to look into the FTSE Index it’s based on to best understand what you’re buying.

Of course, whether you ought to pursue value-tilted indices such as higher yield versus vanilla market cap weighting with your investing is an open question.

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Growth investing

Growth investing post image

Growth investing is about putting your money into companies you think will make greater profits in the future. It is usually considered the flip-side of value investing.

Most viable listed companies will grow profits over time, so a growth investor is looking for companies that are expanding their profits faster than rivals or the market.

Growth investors aim to make capital gains from a higher share price, as opposed to for example buying dividend paying shares for income.

The very best growth stocks can deliver returns of a hundredfold or more after decades of growth, although by definition only a tiny handful of the thousands of companies listed will ever reach blue chip status.

Most growth shares fizzle out long before they trouble the top of the index:

  • Sometimes a growth company slows down to become just another staid performer (also known as going ‘ex-growth’). This outcome can still make you excellent returns if you got into the share early enough.
  • Other would-be growth companies die trying.
  • My personal bugbear is when growth companies are acquired when still young and with all their potential ahead of them. This happens quite often; if you can see the potential in a company, so can industry rivals.

Even when a growth share does go all the way from small cap growth stock to international giant, few investors stay aboard for the entire ride. Owning a successful growth share is a dizzying experience!

Growth investing is hard. Much more common than finding a Microsoft is buying a ‘jam tomorrow’ share, that promises much but never delivers.

This reached its zenith in the Dotcom boom, when companies were growing sales or market share but weren’t growing profits, or even making any money at all.

While all growth investors will inevitably put more emphasis on the business story and the potential for expansion than a value investor, sensible growth investors look at cashflow and return on capital employed to see how the company is multiplying their investment.

Finally, it’s worth noting that some investment greats like Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch argue it’s a mistake to think in terms of value or growth shares.

Buffett espouses the idea of ‘intrinsic value’ instead.

However as a convenient way of labelling an investing method that focusses on profit growth as opposed to value investing’s emphasis on under-rated assets or performance, the growth investing label is useful and here to stay.

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