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This article on making Vanguard’s LifeStrategy funds the core of your lifelong investment strategy is by John Edwards, whose book DIY Simple Investing aims to get novices up to speed.

I was recently discussing financial matters with a good friend. She is articulate, exceedingly well-educated and accomplished – Oxbridge degree, large circle of friends, owns her own home in the country, a mother and now grandmother.

However, the one area of life where she struggles is personal finance.

Talking to her started me thinking. If someone as well balanced and educated as my friend gets stuck, then how many others have difficulty with everyday financial challenges – be it pensions, investments, or savings?

Many people are confused about money

When I started to do some research into ‘financial dyslexia’, I found it was a major problem for a lot of people.

Most Monevator readers are self-directed investors, I imagine, and it is easy to make the assumption that other people could easily do the same if only they chose to do so.

However this may not be the case.

Many people, for whatever reason, have a complex emotional relationship with money. This could be due to repeatedly telling themselves “I don’t/can’t do this” or it may stem from failing to grasp maths right back at primary school level, perhaps due to a single poor teacher.

It may even be down to the wrong sort of genes!

It’s all too easy for those of us who (more or less) take investing for granted to overlook how confusing, daunting and difficult it can seem to those would-be investors looking in for the first time.

More evidence: In 2014, the Open University Business School asked a cross section of the population to answer questions currently on the financial education syllabus. It was shocked by the results – over two-thirds of UK adults got basic personal finance school exam questions wrong.

Consumers also admitted that their lack of financial knowledge was stopping them from making informed decisions about mortgages (44%), pensions (43%), and even the simplest products such as ISAs (32%).

The research also suggested ignorance isn’t bliss – 60% of the 25-34 age group admitted that their personal finances caused them stress, anxiety and sleepless nights.

Another recent report suggested that one in ten people cannot identify the total balance on a bank statement, whilst 25% said they would rather live for today than plan for tomorrow.

The cost of financial advice

Those who can afford the fees can get around these stumbling blocks by employing the services of a qualified financial adviser. However after the various regulatory changes of recent years, the costs associated with advice are no longer hidden in the fund charges.

Making these costs more transparent is probably a good thing, but it does mean the fees of employing an adviser must be agreed and paid upfront.

The cost for such advice varies according to the nature of the advice, complexity and time involved.

As an example, a would-be investor starting up an investment ISA or SIPP or investing a one-off lump sum could pay between £750-£1,500, plus 20% VAT.

Understandably, many ordinary people investing modest sums may be put off by the idea of such high upfront charges.

For these individuals, it may well be a case of DIY investing or nothing.

When simple isn’t simple enough

I have written and self-published three previous books about money and investing. At the time I thought they were fairly straightforward.

My first I described as ‘A simple and easy to understand guide to savings, pensions and investments’ and my second as ‘A simple and, I hope, easy to understand guide to UK pensions’.

But when I took the opportunity to re-read these books in the light of my later findings about the depth of financial difficulty out there, it was obvious that – whilst from my own perspective those statements were true – for possibly the majority of ordinary individuals, my efforts to open up and explain the mysterious world of personal finance had failed.

My challenge was to try to step into the shoes of the novice would-be investor – to become what I had been 25 years previously when I started my own investing journey.

I wanted to try to see things from this different angle and perspective. I needed to unlearn everything I had picked up over the past two decades and then to try to write a book that would be easy for anyone to understand.

DIY Simple Investing

It seems to me that all that the vast majority of would-be investors need is a very simple, no-frills DIY strategy that provides a good chance of a decent outcome.

It was when I was researching Vanguard’s LifeStrategy funds for my own possible use that I realised these products could be the centrepiece of just such a simple all-in-one investing strategy that almost anyone could follow.

I even wrote an article on my own website about this: Vanguard LifeStrategy – A One-Stop Solution.

Now, the average Monevator reader would probably not have too much difficulty in constructing a portfolio of passive index funds and ETFs – or even shares or investment trusts.

But for those who would find such an undertaking daunting, the LifeStrategy funds provide a one-shot solution that I believe is a significant advance in making investing accessible to everyone.

A strategy for life

Vanguard’s LifeStrategy funds hit the UK market in June 2011. They are a range of low cost all-in-one funds holding an assortment of Vanguard’s globally diverse, standalone index funds.

There are five options to choose from, with the number in the name representing the equity level for each fund:

  • LifeStrategy 20% Equity Fund
  • LifeStrategy 40% Equity Fund
  • LifeStrategy 60% Equity Fund
  • LifeStrategy 80% Equity Fund
  • LifeStrategy 100% Equity Fund

(From here I’ll abbreviate the funds to LS20 and so on, for convenience).

For instance, the LS40 fund holds an assortment of Vanguard’s underlying equity funds that together make up 40% total equity exposure. The remaining 60% is made up from a mixture of standalone bond funds.

The current geographic breakdown of the LS40 fund is:

 Equities Allocation
 FTSE Developed World (ex UK) 19.4%
 FTSE UK All Share 10.0%
 US Equity 5.0%
 Emerging markets 2.9%
 Europe (ex UK) 1.5%
 Japan 0.8%
 Pacific (ex Japan) 0.4%
 Total 40%

 Bonds Allocation
 Global bonds 19.2%
 UK Gilts 9.6%
 UK corporate bonds 5.7%
 US corporate bonds 5.1%
 European government bonds 5.1%
 US government bonds 4.9%
 UK inflation-linked gilts 4.8%
 Japanese government bonds 3.3%
 European corporate bonds 2.3%
 Total 60%

Total (equities + bonds) = 100%

Each of the five LifeStrategy funds holds over 1,000 assorted securities.

Which LifeStrategy fund to choose?

Investors who have a longer time horizon and are willing to embrace more risk or volatility in their portfolio in exchange for the possibility of a higher return would select a fund with a higher equity holding – say LS80 or even LS100.

Investors with a lower tolerance to risk or a shorter time span ahead of them should opt for a LifeStrategy fund with more bonds in the mix, such as the LS20 or LS40 funds.

You could also hold more than one LifeStrategy fund in your portfolio to fine tune your exposure.

For example, if you wanted to achieve a 50-50 mix of equities and bonds, you could purchase the LS40 and LS60 funds in equal measure.

The following graph gives an indication of how the various difference equity/bond blends have done over the long-term:

Historical-portfolio-returns

(Click to enlarge)

Source: Vanguard

Remember, it’s not just about the average total annual return, otherwise we’d all obviously choose the LS100 fund!

Volatility increases as you increase the equity mix, which in turn increases the range of returns – including into the negative zone represented by the grey areas.

Vanguard rebalancing for you

I believe the regular rebalancing of a portfolio is important and too often overlooked by investors.

To my mind it’s a great benefit of the LifeStrategy approach that the funds are automatically rebalanced by Vanguard on a regular basis.

The more that can be automated, the better.

Rebalancing ensures you are not exposed to more risk than you chose at the outset when you first purchased your LifeStrategy fund – and without you having to lift a finger.

In contrast, with most other multi-index or multi-asset funds an investor is merely offered a range of potential exposure to equities. This means you may have no idea what your actual level of exposure is at any given time.

For example in an investment offering 20-60% equity exposure, the fund manager has complete freedom to increase or reduce holdings according to how he or she reads prevailing market conditions.

As an investor, you will not know from one month to the next whether your chosen fund holds 60% equities or 20% – or anything in between.

Such a fund’s returns will also depend to a large extent on the manager making consistently good market calls.

Personally I would not feel comfortable with that strategy.

How to implement your DIY LifeStrategy portfolio

Remember, what we are after is a simple, low cost and diversified strategy that a novice investor can understand and implement with a minimum of fuss.

And with the LifeStrategy all-in-one solution, investing can be as simple as ABC:

A) Decide on your attitude to risk/volatility

B) Select the corresponding LifeStrategy fund

C) Choose an appropriate low-cost broker, and set up your automated monthly direct debit

Job done, and you can now get on with your life.

It seems to me that putting together a DIY portfolio does not come much simpler.

As we saw earlier, the LifeStrategy funds are globally diversified which helps to reduce risk. They also have reasonable costs of 0.24% (plus a one-off 0.10% dilution levy).

True, it would be slightly cheaper to hold all the underlying funds separately but it’s not very practical. For the convenience of an all-in-one fund and automatic rebalancing, the marginal additional cost is well worth it.

A strategy for life

Most LifeStrategy investors at the moment are probably planning to use the funds during the early years – the building phase – of growing their wealth within ISAs and SIPPs.

Part of this process should include some thought about your changing risk tolerance at various stages of your life.

For example:

When starting out in your 20s and 30s you could use the LS100 or LS80.

During your late 40s and 50s you could switch to LS60.

As retirement approaches in your 60s you could swap to LS40.

The beauty of the LifeStrategy option is its simplicity.

Choose your level, set up your automatic monthly payments with a selected broker and then leave it on autopilot until your fortieth, fiftieth and sixtieth birthdays, when you switch into progressively less risky funds.

What could be simpler?

The drawdown phase

Although most people will probably use LifeStrategy funds for the wealth-building phase of their investing journey, I believe the funds could be used in later years for the ‘deaccumulation’ phase, too.

Of course, at that point you might plan to move your accumulated money into more income-orientated options.

For instance, other passive funds with an income focus include Vanguard’s UK FTSE Equity Income fund or its All World High Yield ETF – both of which I hold in my portfolio.

There are also income focused investment trusts you might consider.

However, if you have been happily building your retirement pot using the simple LifeStrategy route, then why not continue with it?

In this case, instead of investing in funds that pay out a regular income, you’d plan to ‘create’ and withdraw your 3.5% or 4.0% annual income by selling units.

The average total return on the LS60 since launch in June 2011 has been just over 9% per year, on average.

This return will probably come down a little as the years pass, but using a cash buffer if necessary to cover negative return years, it should be perfectly feasible to obtain a reasonable income.

It’s also worth noting that each of the five LifeStrategy funds comes in both accumulation and income flavours, with the latter paying out – of course – an income.

For those who do not require too much income during the deaccumulation phase, it could therefore be worth considering the income version of their chosen fund.

However at the present time the average distribution yield for the LifeStrategy funds is around 1.4%, which will be too low for most investors.

That is why selling units can provide a good alternative.

Simply is best

My advice to any would-be investor is to keep things simple, low cost, diversified and to understand your tolerance to market risk/volatility and invest accordingly.

And it seems to me the Vanguard LifeStrategy funds offer all this and a bit more in a single all-in-one fund.

Naturally, I go into much more detail in my latest DIY Simple Investing book and cover other aspects that underpin this central theme.

But, in a nutshell, the essence of my book is covered above – short and sweet, jargon-free, and, I hope, a practical guide for those people who are looking for a low cost and easy to understand investment strategy.

Incidentally, the book was in part inspired by a development in my personal investment strategy over the past year or so, which has made me re-evaluate some of my earlier thinking.

Monevator has a lot to answer for!

You can read more from John at his blog – or check out his book at Amazon.

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Weekend reading

Good reads from around the Web.

One issue with chasing the so-called return premiums – that historical tendency for certain kinds of shares to deliver above market returns, even to passive investors who simply tilt their portfolios thataway – is that you have to stick with them through thick and thin.

As my co-blogger The Accumulator has advised:

…think of your value fund like a sardine net. You’ll catch some of the shoal but not the whole lot.

Some days (or years) you won’t catch anything, but when you do it will make for a nice, tasty lunch.

The point is all the return premiums – value, momentum, small cap – have good and bad years, or even decades.

Tilting towards these factors already means flirting with active management.

Ditching a premium that’s going through a cold spell for a hot one that is probably due to turn cold too amounts to French kissing one of the worst traits of active investors. You can expect your returns to dip accordingly.

Yet sadly, research suggests that actively courting disappointment seems to be exactly how many are using the Smart Beta funds designed to capture the return premiums.

Not so Smart, buddy

Take the study conducted by Empirical Research Partners and quoted by the fund managers behind The Value Perspective blog:

What Empirical has done is to look at two relationships – first, between past performance and where investors put their money and, second, between where investors put their money and subsequent performance.

As you can see from the chart below, for eight out of the 11 categories of smart beta strategies analysed, there is a very strong positive correlation between past performance and future fund flows, with those directing money towards yield-type exchange traded funds (ETFs) apparently the most prone to invest with at least one eye on the rear-view mirror.

beta-chasing

Source: Empirical Research /Value Perspective

Uh oh! According to this research, investors in these funds aren’t reaching sober conclusions about the best way to add a little extra juice to their portfolios over the long-term.

They are just buying what’s gone up lately.

This wouldn’t matter if chasing hot funds produced higher returns.

But as the article goes on to show, that doesn’t happen at all – most amusingly in the case of mean reverting momentum funds!

As Kevin Murphy, the blog’s author says:

‘But guns don’t kill people, people do’ is a line less likely to settle an argument than provoke further discussion and yet it is not impossible to imagine an advocate of so-called ‘smart beta’ investments – strategies that try to build on simple index-tracking products by focusing in on a specific factor, such as growth, momentum or value – using a similar refrain.

“But smart beta products don’t make bad investment decisions, investors do,” they might tell a doubter.

To which we would reply – as we would to anyone trying the gun line – “OK, but they do make the job a lot easier.”

While it’s no surprise that these professionals argue you’re better off using actively managed strategies if you want to pursue a value strategy (well, they would say that, wouldn’t they?), I think their warning is well put.

Remember that all the academic research that backs up return premium investing talks about achieving incremental returns over time.

It says nothing about hot hands trading ETFs like George Soros on a stag do in Vegas.

The return premiums are whispering flighty things, with their real world performance already potentially set to disappoint those seduced by the academic findings.

Indeed some, such as Monevator contributor Lars Kroijer, think there’s no case for investing in them at all.

But if you’re a passive investor set on swallowing their lure, I’d strongly suggest The Accumulator’s lazy long-term fishing approach is the way to go.

[continue reading…]

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The Greybeard is exploring post-retirement investing in modern Britain.

Now here’s a thing. Every time I launch into an explanation of how – and why – I’m transitioning my largest SIPP into an income-producing vehicle based around income-centric investment trusts, Monevator readers pop up in the comments box to tell me that I shouldn’t.

Better by far, they say, to opt for an income-focused passive ETF.

Available for a cost of just a few basis points, they argue, such ETFs are much cheaper than an open-ended fund or closed-end investment trust.

In vain does our esteemed proprietor, The Investor, try to turn the discussion back to the topic in hand – which last time round, was on the individual merits of some of the income-centric investment trusts that I’ve been considering.

But no: the relentless tide of passive ETF-huggers remorselessly advances its views, steamrollering everything – even The Investor – in its path.

Don’t take it passively

So why don’t I like income-focused passive ETFs?

It’s a fair question. So let’s start here: consider the following chart, highlighting the relative performance of two investments.

  • The blue line denotes Investment A
  • The orange line denotes Investment B.
GB-passive-index-crop

What we see is clear enough. Investment A initially outperforms Investment B from its late 2005 starting point, but then does much worse. By the time the stock market reached its nadir and started to climb back upwards, in March 2009, a significant gap had opened up between Investment A and Investment B.

And although the righthand y-axis has been excised in the interests of a cheap authorial dramatic trick, the difference in performance between the two investments at this point – as you’ll see in a moment – is equivalent to around 20 percentage points.

In fact, by March 2009 our holding in Investment A is something like 45% underwater.

Next, with a conjuror’s flourish, let’s attach the correct labels to our two investments, and also show the performance to date.

Investment A is the venerable iShares UK Dividend ETF (IUKD) – pretty much the first UK-focused passive income-centric ETF.

Investment B? The FTSE 100.

Now let’s take a look at the full chart, extended to take us up to the present:

MVT-GB-passive-index-full

IUKD is still underwater, almost ten years after its November 2005 launch, while the FTSE is up 23%.

The gap between the two is 25 percentage points – hardly a nominal tracking error.

Far from a rising income stream

From an income perspective, IUKD has also disappointed.

After a strong start, during which the ETF bought into a whole host of Icarus-emulating soon-to-be stock market dogs (think Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds, Northern Rock et al) income payments from IUKD plunged downwards just like the share price.

  • IUKD’s highest payout was in 2008, when it delivered 57p per share.
  • Last year, the 2014 distribution to shareholders was 41p per share.

In other words, six years later, income was still 28% below 2006’s distribution – and that was its best performance since 2008!

Here’s the full sorry tale:

IUKD-income-graph

That’s hardly the kind of steady income-generating performance that an income-seeking retiree wants.

Certainly not me.

Compare and contrast

For the sake of the uninitiated, I should stress again there are in contrast many UK equity income trusts with multiple decade histories of delivering a rising income.

For instance, here is the dividend payout record of one such fund, the City of London Investment Trust (Ticker: CTY):

city-of-london-dividendsRemember, this investment trust went through exactly the same bear market as the IUKD ETF – yet it managed to keep on raising its dividend throughout.

While that’s no guarantee it or any other income trust will always be able to perform as well – income-wise – when markets turn tricky, it seems a fairly convincing performance under fire.

Show me the proof

By now, it should be fairly clear why I prefer an actively-managed investment trust to at least one passive income-focused ETF – namely the original iShares UK Dividend ETF.

And yet, you might reasonably ask, why I am so insistent on generalising that disdain so as to include all passive income-focused ETFs?

Two reasons…

First, while there is a considerable body of (admittedly much-debated) argument and evidence as to the outperformance of passive products in terms of capital growth, I am aware of no such equivalent argument or evidence when it comes to income-focused passive products.

Let me repeat that: for income, there is no theoretical underpinning that says passive should be better.

Cheaper, yes.

But better—in terms of a larger and more sustainable income flow?

No.

Maybe you are aware of such a theoretical underpinning—and if so, please enlighten us all, via the comment box below.

In the meantime, it seems a dangerous generalisation to say that because passive products deliver the best capital performance, they will also deliver the best income performance.

They might, to be sure.

But – as far as I’m aware – there’s no a priori reason for assuming that they should. Unlike capital-focused passive products.

And that’s not all.

Computer say ‘buy’

To my mind, I find my second reason for distrusting one’s retirement to a passive product to be just as persuasive.

And it’s this: All passive products follow an index. In the case of income-focused ETFs, that index has to be constructed so as to offer a rising and sustainable dividend.

But how, exactly? The approach taken by IUKD didn’t work.

And while products tracking the FTSE UK Equity Income Index, the FTSE UK Dividend+ Index, or the S&P UK High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index might be able to point to a different selection regime, it’s still all down to a computer rigidly following a laid-down formula based on what has worked in the past.

Rules that can be remarkably restrictive.

Follow the rules

Here’s the description of the FTSE UK Dividend+ Index, for instance:

“The FTSE UK Dividend+ Index selects the top 50 stocks by one‑year forecast dividend yield, and the constituents’ weightings within the index are determined by their dividend yield as opposed to market capitalisation.”

The S&P UK High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index, meanwhile, measures:

“the performance of the 30 highest dividend‑yielding UK companies within the S&P Europe Broad Market Index, as determined in accordance with the Index methodology, that have followed a managed dividends policy of increasing or stable dividends for at least 10 consecutive years.”

Granted, there can be safety nets put in place, so as to avoid an over-concentration in a particular sector, for instance.

But that isn’t really the point.

The past is no guide to the future

The point is that a computer that is slavishly following an index will blindly buy and sell stocks in accordance with those index rules.

It will do this irrespective of future income prospects, because it only knows about past income performance.

So in theory, there’s nothing to repeat a re-occurrence of what happened with IUKD.

The individual circumstances might be different, but the computer will follow the rules just as precisely.

And as someone who wants to enjoy a comfortable retirement, I prefer forward-looking active income-focused management, to backwards-looking passive income optimism!

Catch up on all the The Greybeard’s articles on deaccumulation.

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The index investor’s road map for avoiding financial hazards

When money is at stake, the last place I want to be is lost without a clue about what I’m doing or where I’m going.

  • ‘Where I’m going’ collywobbles are eased by my index investing road map.

By following the checkpoints on the map, I won’t stray too far from the straight and narrow.

Checkpoint 1: Start with your financial goals

Paying off your mortgage, early retirement, buying a secret volcanic island base – you need to know what you’re investing for.

Having a target is powerful motivation juice. Knowing how big and far away the target is enables you to work out three essential parts of your plan:

  • How long you will need to invest.
  • How much risk you’d expect to take for that level of return.

To reduce the risk, you can increase your timescale or contributions.

Hazard avoided: Never getting there

Checkpoint 2: How much risk can you handle?

Shooting for higher potential rewards means taking on more risk. But if you spend sleepless nights worrying about your portfolio – or you panic and sell when the markets plunge – then you’re never going to enjoy the rewards.

The more cautious you are, the more conservative your investment mix should be.

If you’ve stared into the teeth of a bear market then you may already know how much risk you can handle.

If not, then one way to know yourself better is by taking a psychometric test.

Hazard avoided: Wealth-destroying panic

Checkpoint 3: Think long-term

If your goal is less than 10 years away then banking on equity returns could end in tears.

Analysis of 116 years’ worth of UK equity performance reveals that the chances of equities beating cash are vastly improved over longer timescales.

Holding period (years) Shares beat cash (% of times)
18 99
10 91
5 75
2 62

Source: Barclays Capital Equity Gilt Study 2015

Equities are a volatile asset class, liable to switchbacks in returns that look and feel like the Oblivion rollercoaster. But over longer periods, you’re more likely to capture the good years that help you ride out the bad ones.

Hazard avoided: Unrealistic expectations

Checkpoint 4: Harness the power of compounding

Compound interest is often described as magical because of its astounding ability to boost your returns. It’s the effect of interest earning interest

You can see the magic in action by playing with the Monevator compound interest calculator. Just hit ‘calculate’ and watch the green compound interest line soar above the blue line.

The trick is to magnify the compounding effect by retaining every scrap of return in your portfolio:

  • Don’t withdraw income until you hit your target.
  • Reinvest all your dividends and other interest payments.
  • Start investing NOW. The longer you invest, the more compounding helps.

Hazard avoided: Paying in more than you need

Checkpoint 5: Choose your asset allocation

Asset allocation is like dressing for all weathers. Whatever lies ahead – inflation, deflation, market crashes and bursting bubbles – your bets are spread wide enough to cope. (Well, as best as is possible).

You can split your portfolio between five main asset classes:

  • Cash – bank account savings
  • Equities – shares in companies, and funds of shares
  • Property – residential or commercial
  • Commodities – gold, oil, wheat and so on

Many commentators describe asset allocation as the most important investment decision you’ll make.

Your mix of assets heavily influences the level of risk and reward you can expect, and how your portfolio will react in different market conditions.

Hazard avoided: Taking too much or too little risk

Checkpoint 6: Slash costs like a maniac

Treat your costs like Norman Bates treats his motel guests. Slicing every fee to the bone adds juice to your returns, thanks to the power of compounding.

The costs you need to cut:

  • Trading costs – Trade as little as possible and choose cheap, online brokers with low admin and inactivity fees and regular investment services.
  • Taxes – ISA and pension allowances are your friends.

Hazard avoided: Chucking money away

Checkpoint 7: Rebalancing reduces worry

A portfolio can mutate into a risk-hungry monster.

Picture a portfolio that starts off split 50:50 between equity and bonds.

In year one, equity rises by 10% and bonds stay flat.

The portfolio is now 55% equity and 45% bonds.

If the trend continues, your portfolio will become far more equity-biased than you originally intended, and so more exposed to risk.

Rebalancing enables you to reset your portfolio’s asset allocation to control your risk exposure. You occasionally sell some of the outperforming assets and spend the cash liberated on buying more of the underperforming ones.

Happily, this means you’re buying low and selling high, too.

Hazard avoided: Risk creep

Checkpoint 8: The unexpected joy of drip-feeding

Making regular contributions to your portfolio has a bonus effect. Thanks to a technique called pound cost averaging, drip-feeding can provide long-term benefits when the markets fall.

It works because your regular contribution (say £100 per month) buys fewer shares when prices are high, and more shares when prices falls.

When prices rise again, all those cheap shares you picked up go up in price, too. This lowers the average price paid for all your shares.

Forget fretting about market peaks and troughs. Just keep contributing regularly, and stick to your long-term plan.

Hazard avoided: The temptation to try to time the market

Checkpoint 9: The enemy is in the mirror

Our brains are wired against us when it comes to investing:

  • Greed makes us want the hot asset class just as the bubble is about to burst.
  • Fear makes us panic and sell when the market falls, guaranteeing losses.

It’s human nature. We’re a bundle of impulses waiting to run amok.

Be prepared. Whatever happens:

  • Stick with the plan.
  • Ignore the ‘buy this, sell that’ noise.
  • Don’t chase performance.
  • Don’t obsessively check your portfolio.

Hazard avoided: Yourself

Safe journeying!

This was just a brief sketch of the index investing road ahead of you. For more on the detail, check out our passive investing HQ!

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

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