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Regrets, I’ve had a few

A man who looks a bit like Frank Sinatra with his head in his hands full of regret

Perhaps, like Frank, you’ve had too few regrets to mention. But unfortunately, when it comes to investing, I’ve had plenty.

About what I invested in, and what I didn’t. About when I bought, and when I sold.

Unfortunately, it seems those regrets, and my fear of future regrets, can play havoc with my investment decisions. According to Daniel Kahneman in Thinking, Fast and Slow:

Investors are prone to regret, and the anticipation of regret shapes much of their behavior.

And from Hersh Shefrin in Beyond Greed and Fear:

Regret aversion – the tendency to avoid decisions that could lead to regret – often leads investors to make poor choices.

How then am I to take reasonable decisions with my investments?

Am I just a rabbit frozen in the headlights of my future regrets? Or are there some practical steps that will help me sleep at night?

Minimise regret

It’s comforting to know that Harry Markowitz, the Nobel-prize-winning economist who developed Modern Portfolio Theory, suffers from the same challenge.

Markowitz once said in an interview:

“I should have computed the historical co-variances of the asset classes and drawn an efficient frontier. Instead I visualized my grief if the stock market went way up and I wasn’t in it – or if it went way down and I was completely in it. My intention was to minimise my future regret. So I split my contributions 50/50 between bonds and equities.”

Perhaps the best way to minimise future regret is simply to make fewer decisions.

Decisions, decisions

A good reason to avoid investing in active funds (aside from the fact that they will on average underperform an index tracker) is the number of decisions it requires.

Possible future regrets are manifold. Did I choose the right market? The right investment style? The right manager?

And if I start to regret any of those decisions then I’m facing a timing problem. Do I cut my losses now or do I hold on in hope of a turnaround?

According to Michael Pompian in Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management, the odds of me making the right call are not good:

The fear of regret keeps investors from buying when prices are low and from selling when prices are high.

Conversely, investing in a global tracker requires just one decision: to invest in equities. There’s a lot less to stress over. A lot less to regret.

The key is simplicity.

Keep it simple

I greatly admire the analysis by The Accumulator on the Slow and Steady and No Cat Food portfolios. I’m sure they would lead to good outcomes.

The question is, can I be trusted to manage that many separate elements?

I fear not.

My penchant for analysis means I will be tempted to revisit the asset split every time I rebalance. That temptation will inevitably lead to bad decisions.

As Oscar Wilde’s Lord Darlington observed: “I can resist everything except temptation.”

Sticking to just two or three funds – or even a single multi-asset fund – means I have fewer temptations to fiddle.

Fewer moving parts in a portfolio means fewer decisions to make.

Avoid extremes

It’s harder to think about future regrets when markets are high and rising, and too easy to get caught up in maximising my imagined future returns.

But investing 100% in equities, or bonds, or bitcoin, leaves me susceptible to regrets when, at some point, the market inevitably moves against me. A more moderate strategy allows me to remain sanguine about such moves.

As Morgan Housel suggests in The Psychology of Money:

Avoid the extreme ends of financial decisions. Everyone’s goals and desires will change over time, and the more extreme your past decisions were the more you may regret them as you evolve.

It’s not about removing all risk. Just think through the possible outcomes and how you’d feel about each.

Good enough

The bulk of my portfolio is dominated by global trackers, Vanguard LifeStrategy, short-term gilts, and cash.

It’s not perfect. I’m not sure it’s even logical. I have too much cash, my fees could be marginally lower, and I would likely have better returns with more equity.

But, for me, it’s more important to avoid regret and stick to a reasonable plan than to have a perfect portfolio.

So it may not be the best option but it’s almost certainly good enough. As Charlie Munger told us, good enough is just fine:

It’s remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.

Change your mind

However much I try to simplify things, there are inevitably going to be times when I change my mind.

And that’s okay. Mistakes happen and things change. Even good decisions can produce bad outcomes. Don’t sweat it. Morgan Housel again:

Embracing the idea that financial goals made when you were a different person should be abandoned without mercy versus put on life support and dragged on can be a good strategy to minimise future regret.

Break some rules

Notwithstanding all the wise quotes above, I frequently allow myself to break all the rules.

If I want to experiment with private equity, or I have a hunch that infrastructure is going to be a winner this year, then why not have a punt? I can make some mistakes and learn some lessons.

Provided I don’t invest enough for serious regrets to kick in then no harm done. It may even help me leave the main part of my portfolio alone.

The final curtain

Maybe you’re completely logical – the T-1000 of investing. Maybe you can calculate the most efficient portfolio and mechanically rebalance every year according to your finely tuned allocation until the Grim Reaper is at your door.

But personally – and I suspect along with many people – my anxiety over future regret means I don’t always make the best investment decisions.

What’s more, I’m not actually expecting this to improve. In my early investing journey, mistakes were relatively easy to accept with a shrug. But as I begin to rely more on my investments for income, the levels of regret anxiety rise further. There’s less opportunity to put things right.

The behavioural psychology books may exhort me to overcome my investing weaknesses, but that’s easier said than done. In the real world, the best I can do is try to avoid them by minimising future regret.

Non, je ne regrette rien (nearly…)

I may never reach full investing Edith Piaf. But to summarise I find it helps to:

  • Take fewer decisions
  • Avoid extremes
  • Keep it simple
  • Aim for good enough, not perfection

I often return to that earlier quote from Harry Markowitz. The fact that someone so steeped in investment analysis could take such a simple and broad-brush approach speaks volumes. It gives me hope that maybe I’ll do okay after all.

Investing will always involve uncertainty. But if I can make peace with a few inevitable regrets, my finances stand a better chance of being good enough.

I guess the sign-off should be something about doing it My Way, but I can’t quite bring myself to write it.

So I’ll just say, may your decisions be few – and your regrets fewer still.

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Five reasons why you’ll love index investing

When I first looked into investing, it was like staring across the Atlantic Ocean. All I could see was a vast, churning deep, full of danger that could swallow my wealth whole.

I needed help to sail these seas. Among the competing offers I found a trusty vessel named index investing.

The animal spirit of investing

While you can complete the journey in expensive luxury liners like actively managed funds or in a one-man skiff tossed hither and thither by your own stock picking, here are five reasons why a more modest-seeming vehicle – a portfolio of index funds – makes the most sense:

1. Index investing is simple

Never invest in anything you don’t understand is a repeated mantra in personal finance. Like never crossing the road between parked cars, it’s excellent advice that’s all too easy to ignore.

Happily, index investing is easy to understand, even for those with little investment experience.

  • You make regular contributions to your funds and rebalance your portfolio as little as once a year. (Some prefer never).
  • Holiest of holies: You don’t try to time the market or pick hot stocks.

2. Index investing works

Index investors will beat the average active investor after costs and taxes, according to Nobel Prize winners like William Sharpe and legendary investors like Warren Buffett.

Study after study shows that most actively managed funds are trumped by index funds over the long-term. Why? Because index trackers are dirt cheap. Their low costs nibble away less of your pie than pricier active funds, which rarely put in the consistently stellar performance required to justify their high fees.

Index investing is not a ticket to instant riches. It doesn’t aim to beat the market, but rather to capture the returns of the market. We’re putting our money on the tortoise, not the hare.

3. Index investing is affordable

Cheap index trackers can be bought from online brokers and held there for very little if you pick the right platform. You can buy in small, regular chunks and build up your portfolio slowly over time.

With a bit of confidence and self-education you can manage it all yourself. This means you avoid paying commission or fees to a financial advisor.

4. Index investing doesn’t waste your life

Stock-picking hoovers up vast amounts of time. Index investing leaves you free to sniff the roses. There’s no need to grapple with complex methodologies, pour over company accounts, or entangle yourself in charts.

5. Index investing puts you in control

Ever hire a dodgy financial advisor only to discover later you’re paying sky-high fees for mediocre funds that didn’t suit your needs? (Or was that just me?)

Knowledge of index investing strategies can help you avoid a similar fate by revealing:

  • The risks you’re taking and how to dilute those risks to a level you’re comfortable with.
  • How much you need to invest to achieve your financial goals.
  • A DIY approach that avoids rip-off merchants and saves you a bundle in the long term.
  • How to create and run a drawdown portfolio that turns your pension into a sustainable retirement income.
  • Good questions to ask an advisor should you still want to hire one, which will help you find one of the good guys to work with.

To get you started we’ve a huge library of passive investing articles here on Monevator.

Been there, done that

Index investing isn’t just a nice theory for me. It’s exactly how I achieved financial independence and quit my day job early.

Okay, so now I write about investing in my spare time instead. But that should give you a clue as to how keen I am to bring this proven strategy to the most people possible.

(Well, that and it keeps me in spare bicycle parts and scones…)

Dive in – and happy investing!

The Accumulator

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Weekend reading: Park the car, fuel the ISA

Our Weekend Reading logo

What caught my eye this week.

I mentioned in the comment thread on a recent Weekend Reading post that I partly attribute my high savings rate in my 20s and 30s to my never owning a car.

Weekend Reading – featuring the week’s best money and investing articles from around the web – can be read by any logged-in Monevator member. Alternatively please subscribe to our free email newsletter to get future editions direct to your inbox.

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Best savings account rates

Imagine of a piggy bank to illustrate using the best savings accounts

Disclosure: Some links are affiliate links, where we may earn a commission. This article is not personal financial advice. See all product terms and conditions.

The best savings rates on cash have recovered from dreadful to tolerable in recent years, though generic accounts continue to sport rates as low as 1% AER.

(An AER of 1% is equivalent to £1 per year for every £100 saved. Don’t spend it all at once!)

Higher rates will have been welcomed by many Monevator readers. The low-interest era was especially tough on cautious savers who kept a lot of their wealth in a cash savings account – although clearly higher rates have had impacts elsewhere, too, from the bond market to mortgages.

Today the situation for savers is more nuanced. While accounts paying pitiful rates still abound, the market is much more competitive.

Indeed, account switchers – and of course enthusiasts like myself, who keep a keen eye on interest rates – can out-earn more complacent savers five times over.

Moreover, anyone with a large pot of cash to stash has had something of an unexpected reprieve in recent months. Albeit for unfortunate reasons.

Isn’t it Iranic?

The Bank of England’s Bank Rate had fallen steadily since late 2024.

But with the war in Iran, Bank Rate steadied at 3.75% and further rate cuts are at the least postponed. Interest rates could even rise.

This leaves our savings at the mercy of geopolitics. But whether this leads to more competition in the savings market or to banks nervously edging their rates downwards is hard to call.

Best savings accounts

Perhaps, then, you’re left wondering where you should stash your cash today – or you’d just like a lower-hassle solution to this issue of fluctuating rates?

Let’s look at the different types of accounts available, which ones pay the highest rates of interest, and consider some tricks to make things simpler.

Easy access savings

  • Highest easy access rate if you open a current account: LHV @ 4.25% AER. Open its app-based current account and then open a savings account
  • Highest easy access rate including a temporary bonus: Tembo Money Homesaver @ 4.75% AER, including a 1.75% bonus for 12 months
  • Highest straightforward easy access rate: Charter Savings Bank Easy Access (Issue 73) @ 4.01% AER, open from £1

Easy access is the most popular type of savings account. Such accounts give you instant access to your cash, which means you can add or withdraw money as often as you like. But they also pay far higher interest rates than a typical current account.

Easy access is the best type of account to go for if you know you’ll need access to your cash within a year or so. They’re also the best option if you just don’t want to lock away your cash for some reason.

However there are generally higher-paying options than easy access. So if you apply a mindset of “I must have all my savings available when I want them”, it will cost you.

It’s generally better to divvy up your savings. If you want, say, £20,000 for emergencies and £15,000 is stored for a house move in two years’ time, then you don’t need all £35,000 in an easy-access account.

Note that interest rates on easy access accounts are usually variable, meaning they can change in future. However some do pay a temporary fixed bonus.

Not so easy…

Picking the ‘best’ easy access account is tricky. That’s because there are many accounts out there, all pitched slightly differently.

What’s more, the highest rates are usually only available with strings attached.

LHV is a strong contender at 4.25% AER, but having to open a current account is extra hassle.

The Charter Savings Bank offers a much simpler product at 4.01%. For every £10,000 saved, the difference with LVH’s best offering would only be £24 per year, pre-tax.

Charter Savings Bank tends to release a new issue every time the interest rate wobbles. (If you’ve wondered how it had reached 73 separate issues of the same account, that’s why!) You can get a competitive rate to start with, but your earnings might not increase if rates increase. You’re free to move to the latest issue though, with some minor hassle.

Tembo is an intriguing option. You might want to leave after 12 months when its 1.75% bonus expires, but getting 4.75% AER for a year is decent by today’s standards.

Tembo is actually advertising a 5.75% AER, since it’ll boost your rate by 1% if you use its mortgage service. The service comes with its own fees though, and you could be worse-off than if you’d used a fee-free mortgage broker.

Regular savings

  • Highest regular saver rate if you open an app-based current account: Zopa @ 7.1% AER, open Zopa’s ‘Biscuit’ account and then open a regular saver
  • Highest regular saver rate if you open a traditional current account: First Direct or Co-operative @ 7% AER
  • Highest regular saver rate open to all: Monmouthshire Building Society @ 6% AER, open via its app

Regular savings accounts enable you to put money into them on a monthly basis. Usually their headline rates beat easy access deals, but there are limits as to how much you can save each month. These limits are often quite stingy!

Some regular savers only allow you to hold them for a year. Others restrict your ability to withdraw cash. And the highest-paying accounts are often tied to you also running an associated current account.

Personally, I wouldn’t open a regular savings account on its own unless it was trivially easy – for instance, if it could be opened via the app of a current account I’m already using.

If you need to find the best home for £20,000, then putting £250 away each month doesn’t achieve much. However I’ve previously written a guide explaining how to build a ladder and stash thousands into regular savers if you want to maximise your savings interest.

Notice savings

  • Highest notice savings rate (180 days): The Stafford Building Society @ 4.26% AER
  • Highest notice savings rate (90 days): OakNorth @ 4.15% AER, rate includes a 1% bonus for new customers only

Notice savings accounts are just like easy access accounts, but with an added rule that you must give your provider notice before making a withdrawal. In this way they can beat easy access rates without requiring you to lock away your cash for an excessively long period.

Generally, the longer the notice period, the higher the rate. It does depend on long-term projections in the money markets though.

Personally, I don’t use notice accounts, as I can usually beat their rates with easy access and regular saver alternatives. I’m more than happy to pop a few doors down the (figurative) high street if someone will pay me a fraction more interest. As customers go, I’m as disloyal as they come.

However the big advantage of notice accounts is they can be set-and-forget.

If you know you won’t get around to changing your bank when the market moves, then notice accounts can at least deliver a slightly higher rate than the easy access alternatives.

Again though, if you’re ready to look for the best deals, notice accounts aren’t likely to deliver.

Remember too that they’re variable accounts, so they’re not guaranteed to stay at high rates. When the Bank of England Bank Rate drops, most providers will soon issue their own rate cuts.

Fixed savings

  • Highest fixed savings rate (one year): Close Brothers @ 4.65% AER, minimum £10,000 deposit
  • Highest fixed savings rate (5 years): Close Brothers @ 4.67% AER, minimum £10,000 deposit
  • Highest fixed savings rate (5 years, low minimum): ThisBank @ 4.57% AER, minimum £100 deposit

To secure the highest currently prevailing interest rates, fixed savings accounts are usually the way to go.

With these accounts you must lock away cash for a set period of time. In return, you typically earn a higher interest rate than most easy access alternatives – at the time you put your money away.

Fixed rates can vary significantly depending on long-term interest rate predictions. Right now, there’s little difference between a one-year and a five-year term. But things can change quickly.

Although I think fixed savings accounts have a place, I tend to steer clear. That’s because if I can manage without access to the cash for five years, then I can invest it in potentially more lucrative assets like shares.

However some people do like to keep several years of cash at the ready. And if you most value certainty then you will find it here.

With fixed rates it’s important to appreciate the ‘interest rate risk’ of opting for an account with a long fixed period: if rates rise in future, you won’t be able to benefit until your current term expires.

Reducing the hassle

Some of you will be reading this and thinking it sounds like a nightmare. Opening new accounts with different banks, posting copies of your ID, and remembering yet another app login.

All for only marginally higher rates here and there!

This is where intermediary platforms can provide an interesting alternative.

Hargreaves Lansdown is one such option. Alternatives include Prosper and Flagstone. I don’t have experience of the latter, but I have investments with the UK’s investment behemoth. Hence it was no extra hassle for me to open Hargreaves’ Active Savings Account product.

With Active Savings I can open, for instance, a Close Brothers one-year fixed account at 4.47% AER with just the push of a button.

Admittedly, that rate is 0.18% less than going to Close Brothers direct. But if the hassle factor has you languishing on a lowly rate at your bank, then an intermediary is a better alternative.

In this example, with £10,000 of savings I would earn £18 less (pre-tax) per year with Active Savings versus going direct. No big deal.

But if my money was sitting in a Barclays Everyday Saver paying just 1% AER, and I was planning to move it into a Barclays’ one-year fixed rate account at 3.7% AER – just because I wanted to avoid the hassle of switching provider – then you can see why an intermediary can be a more profitable option.

These services probably won’t get you the best rate. But they can get you a better than average one, and with only a few clicks.

Is a savings account a good idea with high inflation?

After the enormous price rises of recent years, the latest Government inflation figures tell us that Consumer Price Index inflation is running at 3%.

This is the first and biggest problem with cash. Even if you bagged some of the highest rates we’ve listed above, you’d be lucky to see more than a 1% return in real terms. 1

So compared to other asset classes, you probably won’t win with cash in the long run.

However even the most aggressive investors should usually have some of their wealth in cash, whether for diversification or for maintaining an emergency fund. And it’s clearly worth getting the best rate you can on your money, for whatever level of hassle you can deal with.

The second problem with cash is taxes.

If you’re a higher-rate taxpayer, then only the first £500 of savings interest is tax-free. For everything above that, the 4% headline rate gets you just 2.4% after HMRC has had its cut.

Tax-free gilts may well be a better alternative for large sums of money, especially for higher earners.

How much of your portfolio do you currently keep in cash? Have you had any experience with savings intermediaries? We’d love to hear in the comments below. Note that we’ve updated this article with current rates and products, but kept the old comments for interest. Check the dates to be sure.

  1. That is, after inflation.[]
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