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A sign that says “Old Age Ahead” as an analogy for thinking about future retirement living standards

Anyone planning for FIRE1 knows it’s hard to think about retirement living standards while you’re still having a blast in your 20s and 30s – or even when you’re neck-deep in your responsible 40s and 50s.

Like a precog from Minority Report, you can only glimpse fragments of your future.

Happily, intrepid retirees have sent us back reports from the frontier with enough detail to fill in the ‘Here Be Dragons’ gaps in your FI map.

The resultant research – Retirement Living Standards in the UK in 2023 – plots three tiers of retirement spending: from Minimal to Moderate to Comfortable.

The annually-updated paper also reveals what kind of retirement living standards such spending really gets you – from people who are already doing it.

Much ado about much more than nothing

Retirement research gives us a shortcut to answering that perennial awkward cocktail party question: How much do I need to retire?

Okay, maybe it’s only personal finance bloggers who get asked such questions at parties…

Anyway, instead of doing laborious calculations on a spreadsheet, you could just pick one of the consensus retirement income answers published by the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association (PLSA).2

We’ll get to those in a minute. But a bonus of this research is it also includes testimonies from retirees and near-retirees drawn from various socio-economic backgrounds and regions across the UK.

If our retirement future is an unknown country, then their words act like an audio tour guide. We learn something about what really matters – and as ever, the experience of others might help us find our own path.

Plus it’s interesting to read. There’s nowt so queer as folk!

Okay, let’s start with the hard data. After that we’ll move on to the fluffy anecdotal evidence.

Retirement living standards 2023: income targets

Source: PLSA

This table is a bronze, silver, and gold rostrum of annual retirement incomes – as determined by sampling members of the UK public aged 55 or older.

There’s also more granular detail on what you get for your money at each level. We’ll get to that shortly but – spoiler alert – the Minimum lifestyle isn’t factoring in many trips to Ayia Napa.

What’s not clear from the table is the income numbers are after-tax.

This makes it an interesting contrast with the UK median household disposable income3 of £32,300 as of the end of 2022, according to the most recent ONS data.

As for the median retired household income, that’s £26,300. Not much more than the Minimum spending level for couples in the table.

Note that the PLSA expects the State Pension to do much of the heavy lifting in retirement, especially at the Minimum standard.

This is why we think there’s no need to fear the State Pension being done away with. The social fallout of scrapping it would be catastrophic for any government.

Solo sorrows

Another thing that leaps out from the table is life is expensive for singletons.

The most effective cost-saving measure any retiree can make is to couple-up. No wonder there are so many senior Casanovas out there.

Be sweet to your significant other and keep them healthy. Give flowers, not chocolate. (But maybe think twice before buying them a Peloton.)

What you get for your money

To understand the life of Riley promised by the table, feast your eyes on this:

There is much social division written into the curt lines above.

For example, I struggle to imagine life without a car. However I don’t personally need a fancy two weeks in the Med every year.

Also, I know plenty of people who substitute time and talent for money when it comes to gift giving.

You’ll draw your own conclusions. I’d love to hear them in the comments.

While the table forces a statement of spending priorities, the reality is that many of us will drift back and forth across the tiers.

For example, The Accumulators spend less than the Minimum on clothing. We’re in the Comfortable zone on food, though.

Retiree vox pops

What I most like about this research isn’t the numbers, however. It’s the voices.

The participants discuss their lived experience for each major spending category. Like this, a portrait emerges of retirement reality, painted in the primary colours of what money can buy.

The anonymous quotes below are excerpts from the study’s group sessions.

Food spending

The snapshot above shows the foodie living standard each income band affords.

The Comfortables are clearly loading their plates with much more spice of life than the Minimums.

At least on the surface…

One of the things the FIRE community has been great at uncovering are ways to enjoy life without throwing money at it. 

For instance, you can take turns hosting dinners with your friends, which keeps you all socially engaged – and hopefully well-fed – without the overheads of eating out.

Still, rampant inflation in recent years hasn’t helped on this score, either. As one woman told the study:

I don’t think it’s just so much taking people out, but it is having people to the house to cook for them… which you are spending quite a lot of money to then invite people round to, you know, feed five or six people which I would probably do once a month.

In my 20s I spent like The Comfortables on eating out. That was just how I lived the life.

Now I’m under-spending The Minimums and I’m happy with that.  

Housing spending

Minimums pay social housing rent. Moderates and Comfortables are assumed to have paid off their mortgages by retirement.

But today’s retirees aren’t sure the next generation will be so fortunate:

I think that it is probably reasonable now that they would own it but in ten years’ time perhaps they would be more likely to rent?

Personally, I think we’ve fallen short as a country on home ownership. It’s the height of hypocrisy to hoover up housing stock and lock future generations out of the market by failing to build.

It’s creating generational divides that put social cohesion at risk – even as up-and-coming generations are still meant to bankroll the NHS, long-term care, State Pensions, and cleaning up the climate crisis. 

Back to retirement, and divorce looms large as a catastrophic roll of the dice in the game of housing snakes and ladders:

Lifestyles nowadays, people like myself got divorced a couple of times, I ended up on my own and … I live in rented. I have had houses and owned them in the past, but because of circumstances and stuff I don’t.

Divorce is often mentioned by readers in the Monevator comments as a third-party calamity. (Excuse me while I google ‘thoughtful gifts’.)

Speaking of unhappy endings I’d rather not think about…

Body disposal etiquette

Being at an age where they’ve seen plenty of family and friends pass away, the study’s focus-grouped retirees are very pragmatic:

You could die with a million pounds but have your family got access to that million pounds to bury you?

Probably not because it has got to go through probate and solicitors so they might not have the £3K, £4K, £5K to bury you next week or in a fortnight’s time.

Pre-paid cremation plans are included in the Moderate and Comfortable budgets. The study’s interviewees were resolute that they didn’t want their loved ones having to foot the bill.

Mrs Accumulator is under instruction to pop me out with the bins. But she says she will put me in the freezer so she can still chat to me.

We’re gonna need a bigger freezer.

Health issues

We all have teeth that get holes in them and eyes that go wonky, whatever our financial means.

So for dentistry, for example, each of the retirement living standards bands includes the cost of a check-up every six months and one treatment per year, such as a filling, as well as including the cost of replacing dentures every five years.

In an ominous sign of the times, contributors voiced fears about being able to rely on the State for medical treatment:

You need to be able to have money available in case you need [it] because you can’t rely on the NHS well unless you want to wait in pain for ten years or something.

Private healthcare is always a talking point for the study’s focus groups, but it apparently loomed extra large in 2023. It was not included in the retirement budgets this time – but for how much longer?

Funding the NHS feels like another slow-moving car crash that we’re not grappling with as a society.

Are we prepared to pay more in taxes? Can we reduce the burden on the NHS by looking after ourselves more? (I mean by living healthier lifestyles that increase our chances of staving off chronic conditions.)

In any event, all the private health insurance in the world won’t save us from dying if we need urgent assistance but have to wait two days for an ambulance.

Moolah for manscaping 

At least if you’re hit by the proverbial bus, you might be more likely to have your best face on for it these days.

The various spending budgets have always included beauty treatments for women. But now there’s a budget for men too at the Moderate and Comfortable levels.

The researchers note:

“a shift in social norms and expectations and that, as one participant put it, ‘they like it all these men nowadays, they are all grooming themselves aren’t they?’.

The budget included for women covered the cost of beauty treatments, such as manicures and eyebrow threading.

However the focus groups suggested the budget for men could cover the cost of ‘grooming’ such as a shave at the barber or a facial massage, as well as, for example, occasional physiotherapy appointments or sports massages.

While some may despair of ever escaping from society’s expectations about personal appearance, at least it seems positive that:

…in general, groups talked about retirement now being a far more active period and as a consequence there should be a budget to cover these sorts of treatments.

Social and cultural participation

Comfortables are spending 150% more per person per week on leisure activities than The Minimums.

The potential impact of that spending power on a life well-lived is captured in this quote:

It is really important for mental health and everything as well isn’t it? So you know even day classes or evening classes are everything. You don’t get much… I don’t think you get much less if you’re retired.

Interestingly this budget area hasn’t increased much over time. Perhaps that reflects more flexibility is possible within this category? Gym memberships can give way to running shoes and walking boots, for example.

Early Mr Money Mustache was a trailblazer in rethinking life’s riches so they don’t cost a packet.

I’m not sure anyone has replaced him in this respect? Let me know who I’m missing in the comments.

Tech tock

The social participation category also includes spending on technology – an ever-changing hit to our (increasingly digital) wallets.

DVD players are long gone, obviously. But streaming services are now considered an essential at every income level:

I was going to say it is for your mental health well-being as well, socially included because if you’re not able to watch Netflix you know a small series like that, I just feel that is you socially excluded as well.

Even Minimums now get a smart TV. Moderates and Comfortables get a better smart TV.

(We were warned against this escalation in the movie Trainspotting. Perhaps not the best source of retirement advice, but prescient.)

Interestingly, ‘cleverer’ home technology such as smart speakers and passive cameras is starting to creep into the budgets and anecdotes as more of a necessity.

One participant explained why she’d sorted out a smart speaker for her father:

A couple of months ago he did fall and had we set up in time he would have been able to call one of us because he couldn’t reach his mobile phone.

You can ask Alexa to phone so they are a good feature on that so they’re well worth the money to be honest.

This rings true: I have known pensioners with chronic health issues who love their smart speaker’s simplicity. They are also greatly reassured that they can use it to call for help.

The retirement living standards of tomorrow’s world

Every spending category gets a smartphone these days. If nothing else it’s a bit of brain training!

I say this with my tongue in cheek, after watching many a Boomer over the years staring at a smartphone for the first time like a caveman facing a mortgage loan application. 

How long before the new Apple Vision Pro sneaks into the highest spending band and works its way through the income levels?

At well over £3,000 a pop… if you enjoy keeping up with technology trends and you aren’t keen on trade-offs, you’ll need to be a Comfortable spender at least.

“Hello Future Me”

Retirement is difficult to imagine until you get there. We plan it out on bland spreadsheets and struggle to relate our parents’ experience to our own.

Making it even harder is that friendship groups tend to be intra-generational. I know more about the trials of my elders via Monevator readers than I do from real-life.

That’s why I found the retirement thumbnails in this research so fascinating. It let me hear things that people don’t normally talk about.

So what have you got to say for yourselves? Please do flesh out the picture for all of us in the comments below.

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

P.S. We’ve completely updated the numbers, commentary, and quotes above for the latest 2023 figures. Some comments below may refer to 2021’s figures. Others offer a timeless perspective, so do dig in!

  1. Financial Independence Retire Early. []
  2. The PLSA is a financial industry group. It includes asset managers, consultants, law firms, and fintechs. They’re so keen to get Britain saving for retirement that they commission research from Loughborough University’s Centre for Research in Social Policy. []
  3. Disposable income is what’s left after direct taxes, such as Income Tax, National Insurance, and Council Tax. []
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Decumulation strategy: the No Cat Food Portfolio [Members]

The No Cat Food Portfolio logo

Welcome to the second episode of our new retirement withdrawal series. The decumulation equivalent of our long-running Slow & Steady Portfolio.

Our mission?

This article can be read by selected Monevator members. Please see our membership plans and consider joining! Already a member? Sign in here.
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Our Weekend Reading logo

What caught my eye this week.

Seems that even Vanguard investors can be turned into – ahem – ‘tactical asset allocators’ if they are hit by one of the worst bond slumps for several generations.

Trustnet reports that in 2023:

[…] investors withdrew £426.2m out of Vanguard LifeStrategy 60% Equity, the largest fund in the [LifeStrategy] range.

Yet, Vanguard LifeStrategy 40% Equity was the most affected fund, as it shed £1.2bn, making it the most sold portfolio in the IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares sector.

Investors also shunned Vanguard LifeStrategy 20% Equity, taking out £404.6m from the smallest fund in the LifeStrategy range. As a result of those outflows, it was the most sold fund in the  IA Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares sector.

These are not inconsequential liquidations.

In the case of the LifeStrategy 20% Equity fund, it represents about a 25% outflow versus that fund’s size the year before.

Everybody hurts

While I believe that many of those taking money out of these funds are probably making a mistake, I do sympathise.

As I wrote when recapping the calamitous bond crash of 2022, the whole reason we own bonds is to (hopefully) make our portfolios less volatile.

Equities are where you go for thrills and spills. But bonds are meant to numb you into ignoring most of that action.

Great in theory, but at the time I posted that piece (late November 2022), the supposedly most-boring LifeStrategy 20% Equity fund had actually delivered the biggest one-year loss of all the LifeStrategy line-up.

That was not the game investors thought they were playing. So it’s not too shocking some have said “thanks but no thanks” and taken their marbles elsewhere.

Yet as both myself, The Accumulator, and many others have belaboured since the bond crash, that was then and this is now.

The sell-off in bonds made their yields reasonable again. That is key. It doesn’t rule out another bad year for bonds, but overall their expected returns over the medium-term are now much higher.

You may remember Vanguard itself gave us a forecast just before Christmas?

The fund titan said:

We expect UK bonds to deliver annualised returns of around 4.4%-5.4% over the next decade […]

That’s a huge difference compared to when quantitative tightening started in early 2022.

Indeed Vanguard was looking for just 0.8%-1.8% 10-year annualised returns as recently as the end of 2021, just before the rate-hiking cycle began

Sweetness follows

The ultra-low yields that prevailed for over a decade presented huge challenges for everyday investors – and for those who write about such things, too.

With hindsight, everyone would have liked to have sold bonds before they… repriced.

If only life were so simple.

Nevertheless, even before the sell-off somebody who was in the LifeStrategy 20% Equity fund probably didn’t have much capacity or tolerance for losses.

That was presumably why they were in that fund in the first place. And it wasn’t necessarily the wrong place for them to be.

Dreadful though a 10%-plus loss from a bond-heavy fund in a year might feel, that’s much less bad than the worst you’ll see from equities.

In fact a 15% down market is routine from shares every few years. (Try on a 30-50% crash for size.)

Shiny happy people

Presumably much of the money withdrawn from bond funds has gone into cash. That’s not the end of the world while interest rates are healthy.

A chunky holding of cash might not even be a bad long-term decision for some investors – though that money will likely underperform bonds if it stays in cash for long enough.

But if what was meant to be low-risk bond money held by low-risk investors has actually shifted into equities? That’s an accident waiting to happen.

We’ll have to wait and see. (And thus discover once again what only looks obvious with the benefit of hindsight.)

Have a great weekend all. Hope your side does okay in the Six Nations, which has just kicked off. But better yet that my side wins!

[continue reading…]

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Quality street [Members]

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I fantasise about holding quality companies for decades. Of following in the footsteps of Terry Smith, David Herro, Charlie Munger, and the Nicks Sleep and Train and owning great businesses for the long-term.

In reality alas I’m at best a sometimes-prescient buyer of growth stocks. More often I’m an opportunist. Turning over my portfolio like I’m playing a shell game. Hunting for a 20-50% hit before moving on to the next one.

This article can be read by selected Monevator members. Please see our membership plans and consider joining! Already a member? Sign in here.
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