This week’s best post from elsewhere, plus more good links from around the Web.
Anyone who read my post on house prices predictions may have sensed my enduring frustration with the London property market.
If you thought cockroaches were hard to kill, you should try stamping out house price inflation in desirable streets in Zone 2.
London prices will always be high, absent a dirty bomb. The question is are they justifiably tear-jerkingly elevated, or are they pricey even for loaded Londoners?
To investigate, I was all set to produce some pretty graphs as a follow-up. But then I noticed The Finance Blog has sprung back into life and done it for me.
I’m all about the 80/20 rule of time management, so my Post of the Week comes from the Finance blog!
Here’s its crunching of the current house-price to earnings ratio:
Perhaps its wishful thinking, but to me the London ratio looks like a trend reverting to mean, interrupted by emergency interest rates in March 2009.
Alternatively, perhaps the recovery in equity markets resurrected London house prices by reflating bankers’ bonuses? I say that because the North has only flat-lined, despite the deluge of cheap money (for those who can access it).
The Finance blog also has useful graphs on affordability, and on the percentage of FTB pay that goes on a mortgage. Property addicts should go check it out.
Meanwhile, please do add your house price prediction for 2011 to the comments on my article. There will be a prize for the most accurate guess forecast!
From the money blogs
- Do baseball cards belong in your net worth? – Budgets are Sexy
- The false hope of equity income funds – The Munro fund
- Quantum mechanics and investing – The Psy-Fi blog
- Cheating boyfriends and economics – Stumbling and Mumbling
- UK Value Investor has reviewed his 2010… – UK Value Investor
- …and so has Richard Beddard – iii blog
- Happiness is having a job? Hardly! – Simple in Suffolk
- Weather forecasting and investing – Investing Caffeine
- Emerging markets risk – Oblivious Investing
Money Maven roundup
- Canadian Finance blog explains the price to book ratio.
- MH4C tells US readers about ROTH IRA college savings.
- Len Penzo is giving one fanatical reader $100.
- Wealth Pilgrim asks can you retire now?
- Joe Taxpayer says: “Equity indexed annuity #fail” like the cool kids.
The best of the mainstream media
- Boomtime prices without boomtime conditions – The Economist
- Bank bonuses: Round 3 – The Economist
- Government’s Plan B for strikes – Peston/BBC
- Professional landlords get debt write-offs – FT
- 55% of most people’s savings are in cash – FT
- No need to fear a China slowdown – Merryn/FT
- Peter Temple’s portfolio review – FT
- £50,000 loans to parents of homebuyers – Telegraph
- Boris Becker: “After a while caviar tastes ordinary” – Telegraph
- Talking about death and money – Telegraph
- Paper annual reports: RIP? – Independent
- Malkiel special: Costs matter – The Motley Fool
- Malkiel special: Asset allocation – The Motley Fool
- Malkiel special: Timing – The Motley Fool
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Affordability is bad right now compared to the long-term trend. See figure 2 in http://mathieu.bouville.name/finance/UK_property-market.pdf