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The Slow and Steady passive portfolio update: Q3 2026

Our in-house passive portfolio is having a distinctly average year: up 7.8% so far in 2026, or about 4.7% after inflation.

The tale is one of double-digit equity gains, dragged down by bond fund ankle weights:

Actually, the story of 2026 is the story of the portfolio’s lifetime.

The equities bloc (in the green zone below) has performed creditably to amazingly. The 13.7% annualised return of Developed World ex-UK going back well over a decade is extraordinary:

However nominal UK government bonds have almost single-handedly stolen the icing on the cake. The gilty party has lost 3% per year, leaving the Slow & Steady with a 7.6% annualised return since launch.

(Which I’m happy with, to be clear. The objective was only ever to be average.)

The Slow & Steady is Monevator’s model passive investing portfolio. It was set up at the start of 2011 with £3,000. An extra £1,360 is invested every quarter into a diversified set of index funds, tilted towards equities. You can read the origin story and find all the previous passive portfolio posts in the Monevator vaults. Last quarter’s instalment can be found here.

All returns in this post are nominal GBP total returns unless otherwise stated. Subtract about 3% from the portfolio’s annualised performance figure to estimate the real return after inflation.

Too good to last

There was a plot twist in the story that led us to this chapter.

You may recall bonds had a remarkable ten-year run from 2010. But they then fell off the cliff, down 39% from the high point:

Data: Vanguard U.K. Government Bond Index Fund: 31 Dec 2010 to 02 Oct 2026.

Here’s an action-replay of the upward leg of the chart above:

Vanguard’s gilt tracker racked up 6.6% annualised returns from 2010 until its peak in March 2020.

Now for the shocker:

The same fund has dished out a -5.7% annualised loss in the six-and-a-half years since.

Bonds have recovered a little since their October 2022 trough – picking up 2.8% annualised to-date since then. Still, that’s little consolation when inflation has averaged 3.4% and World equities 13.5% in the meantime.

Are bonds broken? Is it a buying opportunity? I’ve read commentary that cuts both ways.

But…

I wouldn’t start from here

If I were starting a similar passive portfolio from scratch, then nominal bonds would be allocated a reduced role compared to the Slow & Steady, given what I know now.

I’d likely split the defensive allocation evenly between gold, commodities, short index-linked bonds, and nominal bonds.

If I rerun the historical tape from the end of 2010, that alternative Slow & Steady earns 8.2% annualised instead of 7.6%.

The difference isn’t huge. The portfolio is about 10% bigger. So it’s less about what could have been and more about what may come next.

A multi-layered defensive array is better fitted for the range of threats that menace passive investors. Not least the storm clouds of inflation and economic uncertainty.

This portfolio only has four years to run, so I should think about making those changes anyway.

New transactions

Every quarter we blow another £1,360 on the market dice and hope to roll sixes. Our stake is split between our seven funds, according to our predetermined asset allocation.

We rebalance using Larry Swedroe’s 5/25 rule. That hasn’t been activated this quarter, so the trades play out as follows:

Emerging market equities

iShares Emerging Markets Equity Index Fund D – OCF 0.18%

Fund identifier: GB00B84DY642

New purchase: £108.80

Buy 39.4804 units @ £2.76

Global property

iShares Environment & Low Carbon Tilt Real Estate Index Fund – OCF 0.18%

Fund identifier: GB00B5BFJG71

New purchase: £68

Buy 27.9077 units @ £2.44

Developed world ex-UK equities

Vanguard FTSE Developed World ex-UK Equity Index Fund – OCF 0.14%

Fund identifier: GB00B59G4Q73

New purchase: £503.20

Buy 0.5395 units @ £932.72

UK equity

Vanguard FTSE UK All-Share Index Trust – OCF 0.06%

Fund identifier: GB00B3X7QG63

New purchase: £68

Buy 0.1833 units @ £370.90

Global small cap equities

Vanguard Global Small-Cap Index Fund – OCF 0.29%

Fund identifier: IE00B3X1NT05

New purchase: £68

Buy 0.1188 units @ £572.42

UK gilts

Vanguard UK Government Bond Index – OCF 0.12%

Fund identifier: IE00B1S75374

New purchase: £285.60

Buy 2.1336 units @ £133.86

Global inflation-linked bonds

Royal London Short Duration Global Index-Linked Fund – OCF 0.27%

Fund identifier: GB00BD050F05

New purchase: £258.40

Buy 237.9374 units @ £1.09

New investment contribution = £1,360

Trading cost = £0

Average portfolio OCF = 0.17%

User manual

Take a look at our broker comparison table for your best investment account options.

Or learn more about choosing the cheapest stocks and shares ISA for your situation.

You might also enjoy a refresher on why we think most people are best choosing passive instead of active investing.

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

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Weekend reading: State Pension to fall out of lock step

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The first Weekend Reading every month can be read by anyone on the Monevator website. Subscribe for free to our email newsletter or become a member to ensure you see the rest.

I thought it notable there wasn’t more pushback in the comments last weekend, when I cited a growing consensus that something must be done about the pension triple-lock.

A few of you raised thoughtful questions, mostly about what really drove the convergence of pension-age income with that of the rest of the population.

But there were no pitchforks, no curses. No shaking a fist at the unfairness of it all.

With hindsight, this eerie quiet further suggested that most of us can see the pension triple-lock is fair game – unsustainable in its current form.

And sure enough, on Tuesday the Prime Minister pulled the bandaid off.

The triple lock would be tweaked to reduce its long-run cost, Andy Burnham said, and any savings used to fund later life social care.

Triple-topped

As the BBC recaps:

The triple lock was introduced in 2010 by the coalition government and designed to ensure the value of the state pension was not overtaken by the increase in the cost of living or the incomes of working people.

It means the state pension rates rise every April by either inflation, earnings growth or 2.5% – whichever is the highest.

Burnham said this will stay in place until 2030, at which point he would like to “adjust it”.

He said: “The state pension will continue to rise every year at least by prices or 2.5%. And it will hold its value relative to earnings over time so that pensioners will always share in the rising prosperity of the nation.

But this change will generate significant savings which we will use to build up our national care service.

Some may not realise it but older people with nothing more than the state pension, or only a little more, can find themselves paying care charges today from that small income. Under my plan, this will no longer happen.”

On first blush it looks a sensible compromise. I think most people support a reasonable State Pension, if only because we’ll benefit from it ourselves.

But its ‘every way’s a winner’ ratchet made the old triple-lock system increasingly unviable. It’s already forecast to cost around three times as much by the end of the decade as originally expected.

Burnham’s tweak should reset the built-in escalation. According to the IFS:

The new, reformed version of the triple lock still contains three parts.

Inflation, earnings growth and 2.5% are all important.

But the new mechanism means that each year the state pension will instead increase by the maximum of:

  • CPI inflation
  • 2.5%
  • the amount needed to ensure the state pension keeps up with average earnings growth since the introduction of the new policy.

Essentially Burnham is saying enough is enough on the catch-up we saw last week. The new tweak effectively cements the status quo, relative to average earnings, in the long run, while still providing protection against everyday inflation.

Here’s an illustrative scenario:

Source: IFS

Sense and sensibility

At first blush it looks like a good change to me.

The old mechanism was becoming too expensive. This new triple-lock will still protect the real value of the State Pension – and it will still be increasingly costly to fund. But the revised link with average earnings at least ties that cost implicitly to the taxes that will pay for it.

The tweak also seems like a pragmatic one – announced without bombast, a sensible timeline to delivery, and made in the face of some political risk.

Finally, funding social care for the elderly is a huge issue, as anyone who worked through my co-blogger’s deep dive a few years ago knows.

I don’t like the means-testy sounding way that Burnham is pitching his fresh look at the issue. Ideally I’d prefer some kind of paid-in insurance system that meant everyone would get to live in a care home for free in the end if they needed to. This would remove the lottery element to end-of-life planning, making it much easier to save (and spend) accordingly.

But at least it’s a real and weighty problem to tackle, unlike the phoney wars of the past decade.

Obviously it’s too early to declare that UK politics has returned to a reasonable centre ground. But might this too be a tweak in the right direction?

Have a great weekend!

[continue reading…]

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Their first home. The next buying opportunity? [Members]

Monevator Moguls logo

All economies are cyclical. But in recent years the UK economy has been like a baroque town clock – one where a cuckoo pops out every 60 minutes, a peasant girl emerges every four hours to chase the geese, and at midnight the clock face spins wildly around before ending up exactly as it started.

Labour conference? Talk about the working majority and GDP growth, while foisting regulation on business and doing little for economic activity except raising salaries in the public sector.

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Our updated guide to help you find the best online broker

Attention UK investors! Remember our massive broker comparison table? Well, we’ve rolled up our sleeves and updated it again to help you find the best online broker for you.

Vacuuming Buck House with a straw would be more fulfilling. But it would not have produced a quick and easy overview of all the main execution-only investment services.

Investment platforms, stock brokers, call them what you will… we’ve stripped them back to basics for you to eyeball over a cup of cocoa and a handful of your favourite stimulants.

Online brokers laid bare in our comparison table

What’s changed with this update?

Disclosure: Links to platforms may be affiliate links, where we may earn a commission via a tracking cookie. This article is not personal financial advice. When investing, your capital is at risk and you may get back less than invested. With commission-free brokers other fees may apply. See terms and fees. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.

Not a vast amount of movement, pecking-order-wise. The main players are as you were.

Still, Chip has chipped in with a SIPP, continuing the trend for fintechs to round out their packages with pensions as their user base develops grey whiskers.

Quilter Invest has SIPPed up, too.

In both cases, the choice is restricted to essentially a single multi-asset fund brand.

That’s a pretty good idea in my view, given how analysis paralysis stalls many a budding investor. (Including my twenty-something self).

Who’s the best broker?

It’s impossible to say. There are too many subtle differences in the offers. The UK’s brokers occupy more niches than the mammal family. And while I know which one is best for me, I can’t know which one is right for you.

What we have done is laser focus the comparison onto the most important factor in play: cost.

An execution-only broker is not on this Earth to hold anyone’s hand.

Yes, we want their websites to work. We’d prefer them to not screw us over, go bust, or send us to the seventh circle of call centre hell. These things we take for granted.

So customer service metrics are not included in this table. It’s purely a bare-knuckle contest of brute cost for services rendered.

On that basis  our ‘Good for’ column reads as below.

Commission-free brokers

These are commission-free brokers. It’s always worth looking at a commission-free broker’s ‘How we make money’ page because – rest assured – they will be earning a buck, one way or another.

Just search that topic on their websites.

If you find commission-free brokers unsettling, then stay under the FSCS £85,000 investor compensation limit or use a broker that charges fees directly. You’ll find some very competitive offers in our table.

Prefer paying directly?

ISAs and GIAs

  • Scottish Widows

SIPPs

The best choice for you depends on how often you trade and the value of your accounts, plus your personal priorities around customer service, family accounts, flexible ISAs, multi-currency accounts, and so on.

Our ‘Good for’ choices are cost-based. We assume 12 buy and four sell trades per year. Buy trades use a broker’s regular investing scheme when available.

Using the full table

We divide the major UK brokers into four camps:

  • Flat-fee brokers – these charge one price for platform services, regardless of the size of your assets. In other words, they might charge you £100 per year, whether your portfolio is worth £1,000 or £1 million. Generally, if you’ve got a large portfolio then you definitely want to look here. Bear in mind that fixed fee doesn’t mean you won’t also be tapped up for dealing monies and a laundry list of other charges.
  • Percentage-fee brokers – this is where the wealthy need to be careful. These guys charge a percentage of your assets, say 0.3% per year. For a portfolio of £1,000 this would amount to a fee of £3 – but on £1 million you’d be paying £3,000. Small investors should generally use percentage-fee brokers. However even surprisingly moderate rollers are better off with fixed fees. Many percentage-fee brokers offer fee caps and tiered charges to limit the damage.
  • Commission-free brokers – these upstarts apparently don’t charge you at all. Their marketing departments have it easy, simply pointing to £0 account charges and trading fees costing diddly squat. So why don’t these firms go bankrupt? Because they make up the difference using other methods. Revenue streams can include higher spreads, no interest on cash, and cross-selling more profitable services.
  • Trading platforms – brokerages that suit active investors who want to deal mostly in shares and more exotic securities besides. Think of noob-unfriendly sites like Interactive Brokers*, Saxo, and friends.

Our table looks complex. But choosing the right broker needn’t be any more painful than checking it offers the investments you want and running a few numbers on your portfolio.

Help us find the best online broker for all of you

Our table’s ongoing vitality relies on crowd-sourcing.

We review the whole thing roughly every three months. But it can be kept permanently up-to-date if you contact us or leave a comment every time you find an inaccuracy, fresh information, or an investing platform you think should be added.

Thanks to your efforts as much as ours, our broker comparison table has become an invaluable resource for UK investors looking to find the best online broker.

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

*Links marked with an asterisk are affiliate links.

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