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Share trading is hard: Worked example

Share trading hamster

I was drinking with a friend last week when he congratulated me on my purchasing Lloyds shares.

Lloyds was up over 40% in just a few weeks. Result!

My friend had read about the initial trade on Monevator. Generally I don’t discuss share trades in real life because:

  • Share trading bores most people.
  • It’s extra pressure when the trade goes wrong.
  • You have to buy the drinks when a trade goes right.

Sure enough, my friend decided I could afford to buy him an extra round.

Stock picking is hard — as I’ve said before, you’re usually much better off investing through index trackers. (I do with much of my money.)

Adding peer pressure or social chit chat brings new awkwardness to a difficult task.

Even when your trades go right, you can delude yourself you’re doing much better than you really are — especially when your friends are congratulating you.

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Theo Paphitis: Enter the Dragon review

Enter the Dragon cover image

I have already read a couple of books by panelists from Dragon’s Den, the BBC TV show that puts would-be entrepreneurs in front of self-made millionaires for their money or their ridicule.

On Saturday I picked up another — Theo Paphitis’ Enter the Dragon — in a Waterstones’ 3-for-2 offer.

Perhaps I’ve become a Dragon’s Den groupie? I’m certainly not reading these books for their literary qualities.

100 Secret Strategies for Successful Investing by Richard Farleigh is like the brain dump of a share bulletin board poster with verbal diarrhea. There wasn’t much takeaway value, though Farleigh’s rags-to-riches tale was heartening.

Duncan Bannatyne meanwhile took time off from snarling at the inventors of dog treadmills and revolutionary shower caps to write Anyone Can Do It.

Bannatyne wasn’t promising much more than a pep talk, but his book worked better than Farleigh’s, perhaps because Duncan made his initial money selling ice creams, whereas Fairleigh earned his wodge investing other people’s billions — not really an option for most of us.

So what about Theo Paphitis? The Dragons are famously competitive: Does Theo measure up?

Enter The Dragon: How I Transformed My Life and You Can Too is at least snappier to read than its title.

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Weekend reading: Recession cessation edition

Weekend reading: Recession cessation edition post image

This week we saw more signs that the world was moving out of recession. Well, that France and Germany were moving out of recession.

Both countries posted +0.3% GDP growth figures for the second quarter, causing economists to splutter their croissants and sausages all over Le Monde and Der Spiegel.

In difficult times one has to put aside one’s Little Englander mentality and be grateful for good news, even if it falls at the feet of the Germans and the French.

After all, what happens across the Channel will surely soon follow here (leather shorts, saying ‘Ciao!’ and a sensible attitude towards alcohol excepted).

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Buying small caps to gear up for the recovery

Smaller companies could do better

A couple of days ago I bought shares in the Blackrock Smaller Companies Investment Trust (BRSC).

Together with my positions in two other similar trusts – Aberforth Smaller Companies and The Rights and Issues Investment Trust – plus a handful of individual small cap holdings, I’ve now got around 15% of my net wealth in mini companies.

Partly I think (or thought) that these trusts were beaten down too much in the bear market; I’ve already written about the Rights and Issues Trust, and my investment in Aberforth is showing a profit, too, although my first buy was too early.

But my putting money into the Blackrock Smaller Companies Trust is prompted by a slightly different motivation.

I’m increasingly minded to think the worst of the economic slump is behind us.

As recently as February I felt isolated in looking on the economic bright side; given what happened in March, perhaps that was deserved!

But latterly optimism has spread as fast as bearishness did in 2008, leading to a big run up in share prices.

This optimism is the motivation for investing in small caps.

Historically, over the long-term small cap value shares outperform larger companies – it’s one of the very few edges a private investor can be fairly confident of securing versus investing in a broad market tracker.

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