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How to buy index-linked gilts

A holding of individual inflation-tracking UK government bonds is the way forward if you want an asset class to hedge UK inflation. But how do you actually buy index-linked gilts?

Thankfully, your neighbourhood investment blogger is here to clear that up.

I’ve personally been pushing this task around my own plate like a seven-year-old told to eat his greens, due to…

  • Telephone dealing: “I hate you!”
  • Dirty pricing versus clean pricing faffology: “Stoopid!”
  • Accrued interest deductions: “Don’t wanna!”

In short, buying individual index-linked gilts meant dealing with the unfamiliar and, as far as I could tell, deeply sucky.

I put the task off for months. Yet now I’ve done it, it doesn’t seem so bad after all.

I suspect I’m not the only one discouraged by mental barriers when looking to buy index-linked gilts.

And so today I’ll walk you through my recent index-linked gilt transaction to demystify the process. I’ll explain any important mechanics as we go, and we can sort any remaining bafflement in the comments.

Missing link(er)

First challenge: not every broker allows you to trade individual gilts.

Of those that do, some enable you to trade at the click of a button, others make you speak to another human at the end of a telephone. (What is this? The Dark Ages?)

Even then your broker may not trade every bond you want, or it may not trade every bond online.

I diversify across two brokers. Of those, only AJ Bell lets me invest in individual gilts.

Thankfully, AJ further enables me to click-to-buy all but two of the UK linkers currently on the secondary market.

No humans required!

If you’re building an index-linked gilt ladder, know that only the 2033 and 2054 rungs are missing from AJ Bell’s roster. (And it might let you buy these by phone too. I’m not sure.)

As it is, I’m building a short-dated rolling linker ladder as modelled in the No Cat Food decumulation portfolio.

How to buy index-linked gilts, step by step

My objective is to keep a portion of my SIPP in a very low-risk, inflation-hedging asset. Three years’ worth of index-linked gilts fits the bill nicely.

Let’s get on with it!

Step one: free up some cash

I flogged off my incumbent global inflation-linked bond ETF (GISG). It’s the best passive short-dated linker fund available in my view, but it still suffered a real terms loss in 2022.

Step two: choose your individual linkers

My rolling linker ladder will consist of three index-linked gilts, ideally maturing in one, two, and three years.

Assuming I don’t need the dosh, then I’ll annually reinvest the cash I get from the latest maturing gilt into a new linker with three years left on the clock.

The snag is there isn’t a linker maturing in 2025. So my first three picks will redeem from 2026 to 2028.

With that decided, the choice is simple as there’s only one linker available per year:

GiltMaturesEPIC codeISIN code
UKGI 0.125 03/262026TR26GB00BYY5F144
UKGI 1.25 11/272027T27GB00B128DH60
UKGI 0.125 08/282028T28GB00BZ1NTB69

No two organisations label their linkers exactly the same way. Search for – and double-check you’ve found – the right security by using its EPIC or ISIN code.

Once surfaced, you can click-through to trade your gilt – assuming your broker is on the grid.

Otherwise, it’s the telephone, or postal order, or semaphore trading for you m’lad / lass.

Brokers who facilitate online gilt trading

Disclosure: Links to platforms may be affiliate links, where we may earn a small commission. It doesn’t affect the price you pay. Your capital is at risk when you invest.

AJ Bell lists its gilt line-up on a specific page.

Hargreaves Lansdown also has a dedicated linker page. Click the Maturity header to place them in a sane running order. But beware, most of HL’s linkers apparently require an expensive telephone trade. See this super-helpful comment from reader Delta Hedge.

iWeb lists linkers too. (This page appears organised by the Muppet Show. Click through on the names to trade.)

Halifax and Lloyds use the same platform as iWeb but in nicer colours.

Interactive Investor trades linkers online but I can’t find a public-facing page. Individual conventional gilts are listed though. You can find index-linked gilts on ii by searching using EPIC codes.

Charles Stanley trades gilts but it looks like a telephone-only service.

Fidelity is an obvious absentee here. Sort it out Fidelity!

Let us know of any other brokers you use in the comments.

Step three: understand how individual linkers are priced

Things can get pretty confusing because of the way index-linked gilts are priced.

Most brokers and online data feeds show each linker’s clean price before you order.

The clean price is typically the nominal price for each gilt.1

That isn’t much use because the price you pay is the dirty price.

The dirty price is typically higher than the clean price. That’s because the clean price excludes:

  • Inflation-adjusted principal and accrued interest for three-month indexation lag linkers.
  • Accrued interest for eight-month indexation lag linkers.

Bear with!

Inflation-adjusted principal

Inflation-adjusted principal is the bond’s original £100 nominal value modified by the change in the RPI index since it was first issued.

In other words, if RPI inflation has increased by 10% since the linker hit the market, the value of its principal will have increased to £110.

It’s this inflation tracking property that makes linkers so valuable in the first place! (Along with their inflation-adjusted coupon or interest payments)

The clean price does not include inflation uplift on principal for most linkers, whereas the dirty price does.

While we’re here, I’ll just mention that all index-linked gilts are due to switch their link from RPI inflation to CPIH inflation from 2030.

Also while we’re here, bonds are a psychological hellscape of impenetrable jargon. Take the edge off it with our bond terms pain relief.

Also this Debt Management Office (DMO) glossary is a godsend.

Accrued interest

The dirty price includes inflation-adjusted accrued interest. Accrued interest is interest you’ve earned from owning the bond since its last coupon date.

By rights, that accrued interest belongs to the seller who held the bond until you swooped in.

Paying the dirty price (pumped up by the accrued interest) means you compensate the seller for the interest payment they won’t receive – because you now own the bond.

It’s a bit like pass the parcel. The previous owner handed the bond on to you while the music still played. And if you’re still in possession when the music stops, you scoop the whole prize – a semi-annual interest payment no less.

Thankfully, bond traders recognise that a children’s party game is no basis on which to build a thriving capital market. Thus accrued interest keeps everything fair and avoids foot-stamping temper tantrums.

This is also why bond trader parties are no fun.

Your broker will show accrued interest as a cost when you buy a gilt. You’ll make it back next time your linker deposits sweet, sweet income into your account. If you decide to sell a bond early, then someone will pay you any accrued interest in return.

Ownership of the gilt is determined seven business days before each coupon payment date. That seven day stretch is the ex-dividend period – beginning with the ex-dividend date.

If your purchase settles during that period (but not including the ex-dividend date itself) then you don’t pay accrued interest. Instead, you’re entitled to rebate interest. This will show as a Brucie bonus on your contract note.

What’s actually happened is that the seller has already been declared the winner of the next coupon. So if, for example, you take ownership of the gilt on the first day of the ex-dividend period, they owe you for the seven days of interest earned before the coupon paid out.

Just like accrued interest, rebate interest is a ‘fair’s fair’ mechanism. It ensures each party earns the right amount of interest for their period of ownership, regardless of where the coupon apples actually fall.

Fun fact: if your trade settles on the coupon payment date then there is no accrued interest (or rebate interest). Yin and Yang are in balance on this day.

Indexation lag

Eight-month indexation lag linkers upweight principal and coupon using RPI readings from eight months ago. For example, a coupon paid out in December is inflation-adjusted according to the previous April’s RPI index.

Eight-monthers are very much an endangered species. They were issued before 2005 and as mentioned only two remain in circulation: T30I maturing in 2030 and T2IL maturing in 2035.

Three-month indexation laggers represent the latest in UK linker engineering. They only trail inflation by three months.

Under the pricing bonnet, eight-month clean prices include inflation-adjusted principal and three-monthers do not. That’s why eight-monthers look more expensive at first blush.

In reality, it makes no difference. All gilts are bought at the dirty price and if you want a linker that matures in 2030 and 2035 then it’s an eight-monther for you.

Why don’t they show the dirty price?

God knows. It’s not as if they don’t calculate it when you make a purchase. Perhaps someone who knows about the live price plumbing can supply an answer. But it’s an annoying omission.

It’s also the reason why some brokers ask you to state a cash amount when ordering linkers rather than a unit number.

If you’re building a non-rolling linker ladder predicated on buying a certain number of gilts then it’s probably best to over-egg it.

That said, here are three sources of dirty price information:

  • Tradeweb – Sign up for a free account. Select Index-linked in the Security Type menu and press Submit. Set the Page size to 50 to see every linker on the market.
  • YieldGimp – Dirty price = Net Price (inc. Accrued) column on the spreadsheet.
  • LateGenXer – Scroll down and switch on the Index-linked toggle in the left-hand column. Enjoy dirty prices!

Tradeweb is the official supplier of gilt stats to the DMO. However, it only provides the closing dirty price, which it publishes around noon the following day.

YieldGimp updates its dirty prices throughout the day, so this is your go-to source if you want a rough and ready take on how many gilts you can expect to purchase. It won’t be spot-on, as we’ll see shortly. But it’ll be pretty close.

LateGenXer has developed a superb app to help UK investors build linker ladders. The dirty price is updated towards the end of the day. Extend the ‘Number of years’ in the left-hand column to see more linkers.

You can also calculate the dirty price from the clean price on the fly. Updated clean prices are available from the London Stock Exchange. Search using EPIC or ISIN codes.

It requires some spreadsheet kung-fu to beat the dirty price out of the clean price, so we’ll save that for the next thrilling episode of Arthur C. Accumulator’s Mysterious World (of linkers).

Units vs gilts

Okay, one last point on the linker pricing imbroglio.

Gilt prices are typically displayed in pounds not pence. If you see a two or three figure price then that’s the price in pounds per gilt unless it says otherwise.

Tradeweb, YieldGimp, and the London Stock Exchange display prices like this.

The brokers generally do the same. Until they don’t.

Now, just in case you were finding all this too easy, you don’t buy gilts in handy bundles of gilts.

You buy them in units. Each unit is worth a hundredth of gilt.

So if a gilt has a nominal value of £100 then each unit has a nominal value of £1.

Which sounds simple enough but we’re all busy people and it’s easy to forget.

Especially when your broker mixes unit values with gilt prices!

Here are the crazy scenes in my account:

I’ve bought 14,850 units of mystery brand linker A. But my mischievous broker displays the gilt price not the unit price.

  • 14,850 x £148.8817 = £2,210,893

I’m rich! Oh balls, I’m not rich. I just put the decimal place in the wrong column again.

The unit price is £1.488817 because each unit is worth one-hundredth of a gilt. Which explains why the value column is £22,108.93 and I haven’t bought a one-hundred bagger linker.

A single-figure price typically indicates a unit price. A two- to three-figure price suggests gilts, unless some eejit is showing you the price in pence, which some brokers randomly do. Good to keep you on your toes!

If you track your linker winnings on a spreadsheet and something isn’t adding up, then this units/gilt farce will often be the reason. At least it is for me.

Coupons, accrued interest, you name it – the amounts are typically quoted in pounds per gilt, so should be multiplied by your units / 100 when you’re totting them up.

Step four: lose the will to live

Revive with a coffee, a beer, or a fortifying hot chocolate to suit.

Step five: submit your order

I can’t believe it! I’m submitting my order already. So soon?

As I mentioned, nobody knows what the hell price they’re be paying so you’ll be asked to put cash on the table.

Once I did that with my trade, I was treated to this quote screen:

The clean price is just so much screen clutter. Fuggedaboudit.

Although that said, the £1 difference between the clean buy and sell price shows that you may pay a spread of about 10p per unit.

The indicative price is per unit and wasn’t too far out. I’ll explain more about this price in a sec as it’s dirty-ish but not strictly dirty.

The dealing charge was a fiver and very reasonable too. It works out at less than 0.023% of the transaction.

The order type was a market order or a limit order. In the end, I went for a market order.

Notice the small print that says: “Accrued interest payments will also be applied to the estimated total.” The bill for that is coming right up.

Anyway, dear reader, I submitted my order.

Telephone orders

I have not made a telephone order, but Monevator readers Mark Dawse and Sleepingdogs, among others, have reported on the process:

  • Know which index-linked gilts you want to order in advance.
  • Identify each one by their EPIC code. It’s much easier than using the longer ISIN number, and will knock precious minutes off the call!
  • The broker’s agent will repeat back the gilt’s code and other identifying details to ensure you’re both talking about the same thing.
  • They should quote the fee and an indicative price. You then confirm whether you wish to proceed.
  • The agent is likely to put you on hold while their team places the trades.
  • Once all trades have gone through, your agent will list your purchases and the actual prices paid.
  • Set aside plenty of time for the call, especially if you’re placing several orders in one go.

Step six: “Congratulations on your purchase of UK government debt”

Here are my contract note highlights (never thought I’d find myself saying that):

After the sale, you’ll finally know how many units you’ve bought.

That’s 14,850 – or 148.5 gilts – in this case.

The price per unit is higher than indicated on the quote screen. No biggie.

The consideration number tells me I’ve bought £22,094.15 of linker TR26. (Our mystery brand revealed!)

And I owe 23p in accrued interest. Could be worse.

Notice how accrued interest is a cost on top, like the dealing charge.

Step seven: incur an immediate loss

Every time you buy individual gilts, your broker is likely to show you’ve made an initial loss (unless the price moves sharply in your favour).

Here’s the losses weighing on my three linkers shortly after purchase:

There’s nothing like getting off to a great start, right?

The loss comprises:

  • A £5 dealing charge
  • Accrued interest
  • Unfavourable price moves since purchase

By the time I took this shot, the 2026 linker (TR26) was down 56p price-wise. Meanwhile, the prices of the other two were up £6.59 and £4.54 respectively, reducing my initial losses.

Fam, it’s a rollercoaster.

You may show a much worse loss if your broker values your linkers using the nominal clean price.

If AJ Bell did that then my valuation would have looked approximately like this:

GiltUnitsClean priceValue
UKGI 0.125 03/2614,850£99.16£14,725.26
UKGI 1.25 11/2710,660£103.40£11,022.44
UKGI 0.125 08/2815,932£99.92£15,919.25

My holding would have appeared down by nearly £25,000 if it was valued by the clean price. (Remember the clean price is divided by 100 to get the unit price).

If you are seeing massive losses like that then there’s almost certainly no cause for alarm. (Assuming they’re caused by the clean price method which they probably are.)

Your index-linked gilts are actually valued by the dirty price. This includes all that lovely inflation uplift and accrued interest.

I’ll include a spreadsheet in the next part of this series so you can properly track the value of your holdings using the intra-day dirty price.

Inflation-adjusted clean price and this accrued interest business

Although AJ Bell isn’t valuing my linkers by the nominal clean price I don’t think it’s using the dirty price either.

If it was, then my portfolio wouldn’t show a loss due to accrued interest – because accrued interest is included in the dirty price.

So it must be valuing my units by the inflation-adjusted clean price. That is:

The dirty price minus accrued interest. Or, in other words, the clean price incorporating inflation-adjusted principal. 

Thus my linkers should be worth a little bit more than shown in the last screenshot above. Because if I sold them immediately after purchase, I’d be due the accrued interest I’d bought, but never received, because I sold out before the next coupon payment.

It’s all relatively easy to calculate but let’s leave it for the spreadsheet episode to come. Tradeweb also publishes accrued interest figures per gilt (see the link waaaaay above.)

Step eight: stop writing about index-linked gilts

Don’t mind if I do.

Hope this all helps someone.

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

  1. Eight-month indexation lag linkers include inflation-adjusted principal in the clean price. However, there are only two eight-monthers left: T30I maturing in 2030 and T2IL maturing in 2035. []
{ 32 comments… add one }
  • 1 miner2049er October 8, 2024, 3:55 pm

    Absolute perfect timing, it’s almost like you’ve read my to do list to look into but never got round to doing, love this site and that’s why I subscribe, thanks! iweb on there to which is what I use for other bits so a possible already 🙂

  • 2 DavidV October 8, 2024, 3:58 pm

    Thanks TA for this extremely helpful article. It is reassuring that IWeb, who I use as my unsheltered platform, has a good selection of index-linked gilts that can be purchased online.
    For selecting nominal gilts, the only sort I have so far, I have used YieldGimp and your translation of Dirty Price into their terminology is useful to bear in mind.
    Finally, I have only bought nominal gilts through IWeb. When I did, the trade did not happen immediately and took a few minutes before I received the acknowledgement of completion. If you try to access the contract note immediately, it appears in a crudely formatted presentation. The accrued interest is not shown but it appears as if it is a cost of purchase (i.e. dealing fee). You have to wait until the following day to get the formatted contract note with accrued interest clearly separated out.

  • 3 EMcG67 October 8, 2024, 4:07 pm

    Thanks for this. TBH, it all goes over my head and, hopefully, my DB pension and rental property will, in effect, be my Bond/Gilt Ladder.

    But would something like these Invesco Bullet Shares ETFs serve the same purpose?

    https://www.invesco.com/uk/en/capabilities/etfs/bulletshares-ucits-etfs.html

    If not, what the difference? Thank you.

  • 4 tetromino October 8, 2024, 5:15 pm

    Thanks TA, I haven’t yet made it as far as purchasing individual linkers so it’ll be great to have your thorough guide to hand if and when I do.

  • 5 helfordpirate October 8, 2024, 5:52 pm

    Thanks for that comprehensive tutorial! A very valuable resource as the platforms are not very helpful on the whole process.

    FYI I know this is not an article about tax – but you need to keep track of all that accrued interest on purchases and sales because HMRC will want to know about it! Accrued interest received on a sale is taxable as income; and on purchase is claimable against income. Interesting to see whether EOY broker Tax Certificates show all that!
    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/accrued-income-scheme-hs343-self-assessment-helpsheet/hs343-accrued-income-scheme-2024

  • 6 Gizzard October 8, 2024, 6:18 pm

    Although Hargreaves Lansdown require you to telephone the order through, I believe the price is now as per their online charges (rather than £40 previously).

  • 7 Shermo October 8, 2024, 6:44 pm

    Wow this makes my head spin a little, so glad it’s so simple…

    Not quite at the stage for this but I’ve been looking at funds such as Vanguard Sterling Short-Term Money Market Fund (VASTMGA) to cover the lower risk end of my portfolio when I need to reduce my stock exposure.

  • 8 sevenseas October 8, 2024, 8:43 pm

    Great article! I have bought a few as well in recent months (AJ Bell and iWeb, the latter values them with the clean price in my portfolio, but otherwise it works well). I bought them outside tax wrappers because capital gains on gilts are not subject to CGT. Buying gilts with very low coupons then means almost the entire gains are tax free. I assume this works effectively the same way for index-linked gilts, but I am not entirely sure. I’d assume that the gain from inflation is a capital gain that isn’t taxable. If that is right then why buying these low coupon gilts in a tax wrapper?

  • 9 159F October 8, 2024, 9:15 pm

    Brilliant.

  • 10 Naeclue October 8, 2024, 9:18 pm

    @helfordpirate, in my experience brokers do not properly report accrued interest properly in EOY statements. Coupon payments they report just fine, but not the accrued on trades.

    Remember as well that if you have paid accrued on a purchase, that accrued is offset against the next* coupon, which could be in the following financial year. ie the accrued is taken of next years bond interest, not this years. Unless you sell before year end of course.

    *some people confusingly, or maybe not, like to call this the current coupon, as it is the one currently accruing. Next coupon is the one after! Might possibly be a French thing.

  • 11 Naeclue October 8, 2024, 9:30 pm

    @EMcG67, there are differences

    – ETFs are subject to capital gains tax, gilts and most GBP corporate bonds are not.
    – The ETFs contain corporate bonds instead of gilts, so carry credit risk.
    – The ETFs hold USD and EUR bonds and so have currency risk. The GBP hedged versions should mitigate most of the risk though.

    There may be some uncertainty over the actual return as well, but I haven’t delved deeply enough to say for sure.

  • 12 The Accumulator October 9, 2024, 8:17 am

    @ EMcG67 – the main issue is those ETFs don’t contain index-linked gilts, so don’t hedge inflation. Also, I’ve opted for a rolling ladder whereas Bulletshare ETFs are designed as a collapsing ladder i.e. you use them to ensure delivery of a specific income amount per year.

    @ David V – Thank you for that note on iWeb’s service, especially as quite a few people around here use it. AJ Bell output the contract note within a very short space of time. Less than an hour.

    @ Helfordpirate – Great point about tax, thank you for the link. Hey, I clicked through to your linker ladder spreadsheet the other day but it was down. Don’t know if you know?

    @ Gizzard – Good to know, thank you!

    @ sevenseas – My tax wrappers have room to spare! Moreover, much of what I own was bought thanks to generous tax reliefs on pension contributions. Finally, linker coupons are inflation-adjusted so that can add up pretty quickly.

  • 13 Colin October 9, 2024, 10:45 am

    @Gizzard – are you sure about the pricing, the last time I asked Hargreaves Lansdown about it they told me it would be the telephone dealing charge.
    However, I was wondering, AJBell charge about £3.50/month to hold gilts for you but only have a £5 dealing charge. Hargreaves Lansdown do not charge at all for holding gilts for you but charge £40 or so to buy (unless @Gizzard is correct). However, is there anything to stop you setting up an AJBell account, buying your gilts and then transferring your gilt investments to Hargreaves Lansdown to hold? I’m planning on creating a long term non-reinvested linker at some point where I hold all bonds until maturity so looking for the most cost effective solution.

    NB I think the reason clean prices are shown and not dirty prices is that it makes the bonds easier to compare, especially if you intend to hold them to maturity because it immediately shows you the baked in return or loss you will suffer.

  • 14 DavidV October 9, 2024, 11:15 am

    @TA (10)
    I don’t know the exact delay before IWeb produce the fully-formatted contract note. It’s just that having been confused by the initial format I phoned the helpline to query the ‘charge’. When it was explained that this was indeed accrued interest, which I suspected, I waited until the following day to have another go to access it. Unfortunately, unlike HL, IWeb don’t send an email to notify you about the contract note. It’s quite possible it would have been formatted within the hour, as with your A J Bell experience – I simply don’t know.

  • 15 WinterMute October 9, 2024, 11:20 am

    @TA : Thank you for the excellent write-up; understanding linkers was on my To-Do list forever!
    Out of interest, does Monevator cover the risks associated with linkers in any of the posts; specifically the deflation risk (deflation floor etc.)? It would be great to see your take on that topic.

  • 16 Gibbo October 9, 2024, 11:37 am

    This is really interesting. I am trying to research what is the closest product (ETF?) you can buy that mirrors what is being suggested in this article. Is this closest you can get that is pure index link gilts without anything added to the mix – iShares Up to 10 Years Index Linked Gilt Index ?

  • 17 The Investor October 9, 2024, 12:03 pm

    @Gibbo — We wrote about this fund when it launched:

    https://monevator.com/short-duration-index-linked-gilt-fund/

    Note that while it is lower duration than other index-linked gilt products in the UK, there will still be some interest rate risk versus holding individual linkers to maturity. 🙂

  • 18 Gizzard October 9, 2024, 1:20 pm

    @Colin (13)
    I’m working a bit from memory regarding the HL dealing costs. I’m pretty sure they sent me an email or something on the subject.

    However, it’s perfectly feasible to buy on AJB and transfer to HL. I did exactly that myself – in order to take advantage of a cashback offer.

  • 19 The Accumulator October 9, 2024, 1:37 pm

    @ Colin and Gizzard – Gizzard you are right. Just gone to HL’s share dealing page and it says: Index-linked gilt deals made via telephone are charged at online dealing rates. So £11.95 a pop unless you’re a frequent trader.

    @ Gibbo – yes, that’s the closest.

    @ Winter Mute – In theory deflation is a risk for UK linkers in that – unlike US versions – the value of principal and coupon payments declines if the RPI index drops. In practice, the UK hasn’t endured a single negative year of inflation since 1933. Obvs other countries do experience deflation periodically but we seem more prone to the opposite problem. My sense is that the Bank of England would fire their big bazooka at will if deflation was on the cards.

    Still, every asset class has its achilles heel which is where the ol’ diversified portfolio steps in. I’d be trusting my conventional bond holdings and cash to do the business if deflation stalked the land.

  • 20 Sparschwein October 9, 2024, 3:48 pm

    This is very helpful indeed. I had ditched my linker funds (as the fund structure doesn’t seem to work for inflation protection) and then put off the complicated job of buying individual linkers too.

    A final concern: How does one know if the offered price for the bond is fair? With stocks and ETFs, the bid/ask is obvious, and from experience I have a sense for what is a sensible spread.
    In the above example, it is ~1% which seems expensive. That is, if the displayed spread on the clean price corresponds to the actual spread (?)

  • 21 The Accumulator October 9, 2024, 8:01 pm

    @ Sparschwein – really good point. I didn’t properly complete the thought about the spread. Even though the spread implied by the clean price shown was high, in reality I didn’t pay anything like that. Based on my price check just before and after pressing submit, I was charged almost exactly the mid-price (clean) on all 3 linkers or about 2p on the dirty prices. I estimate around 0.012% of the value of the transaction.

    TI bought an 8-monther through a different broker and the spread on that was minimal too.

  • 22 Sparschwein October 9, 2024, 8:52 pm

    @TA – that’s good to know, many thanks.

  • 23 Kelvinho October 10, 2024, 5:46 am

    @TA – thank you for another excellent article. I am just wondering as a percentage of your defensive portfolio, how much have you allocated to linkers? Due to my age and risk profile I am currently comfortable with a 80:20 split between equities and my defensive/diversafied investments. However, it’s the split of the defensive/diversified element of my portfolio, that I’m always most concerned about. Normal government bonds to protect against recession and linkers to protect against inflation risk. Is there a general consensus or rule of thumb on a sensible weighting between government bonds and linkers? From reading comments on your other articles, it feels like linkers are usually a comparatively smaller hold in any portfolio compared to normal government bonds but I guess some investors are pro-actively adjusting this split as their perceived risk for UK inflation is going up and down. Any insight into your thought process around this area would be much appreciated.

  • 24 Treetops October 10, 2024, 10:10 am

    Thanks TA,
    Like miner2049er, perfect timing for me.

    I bought some GB00BZ1NTB69 back in 2022 , later figuring I needed to know more on this.
    Periodically & as reassurance I ‘phoned HL to check what I would get if I sold & they gave me this:
    https://www.dmo.gov.uk/data/pdfdatareport?reportCode=D1D

    as the go-to place for “index ratio for settlement” the HL lady said they used
    it to quote sales prices. Hope that was right (& not fools gold).

    Good back-to-school prompt so out with the pen and exercise book/excel for me.

    Mike

  • 25 CB October 10, 2024, 3:00 pm

    @TA Great article – I’ve got individual gilts but have been procrastinating about individual linkers. I think it is time to dip a toe in the water…

  • 26 Al Cam October 10, 2024, 3:11 pm

    @TA:
    Nice post.
    As a long time fan of floor & upside (F&U) I am more than happy to see so much recent discussion about linkers, ladders, etc.
    However, a word of caution if I may.
    There are a plethora of ways in which you can lay out static flooring; both at/near the point of retirement, and, often more efficiently, in the period prior to retirement*.
    However, I worry that the recent discussions risk leading people to conclude linkers is the only way to go. Whilst linkers currently offer good value for money, this has not always been the case (see e.g. last sentence at https://monevator.com/retirement-withdrawal-strategy/#comment-1722740) and may not be the case again in the future.
    Furthermore, some [adventurous] folks may even wish to eschew static arrangements all together and keep all of their “current flooring cost” exposed to the market and manage the risk.
    There are many ways to skin this cat, and IMO linkers should not inadvertently become the flooring “Kool-Aid” equivalent.

    *perhaps up to maybe thirty years in advance!

  • 27 The Accumulator October 10, 2024, 4:32 pm

    @ Kelvinho – There’s so much to say on this that I think I need to write a post on it. It’s a great point and also a dilemma that I think hinges a great deal on your personal objectives. Can I ask, does your 80/20 split suggest you’re quite young with some way to go before retirement?

    @ Treetops – that DMO link is correct. There’s another one that is also sometimes needed for index ratios. It’s part of next week’s article which is essentially a linker tracking spreadsheet post. Stay tuned!

    @ Al Cam – Personally, I’m not using index-linked gilts as a floor but I still needed to do a lot of work to understand them.

    And that’s what all this is about. I’m doing my best to demystify an asset class so people can decide whether or not they want to use them, and whether or not they represent good value.

    Re: floor / safety first approaches. I understand your perspective though I’m going to counter – more for fun than anything else.

    I think ‘safety first’ is more about affordability and psychology than value for money. If you can afford it why wouldn’t you squeeze the risk out of your retirement? Why would you fret whether some other route might have eked out a higher yield?

    My point is you pay the going rate for peace of mind. If you can’t afford it then you don’t get that peace of mind.

    I’m using a probability first method because I can’t afford the life I want using ‘safety first’. And I suppose because, psychologically, I can live with the risk of a probability-based approach.

    I’ll give you quite a personal example of why I’m down on worrying about value for money. I know someone following a safety-first approach. It’s working really well with the floor secured by an index-linked annuity. Yet periodically that person frets that they may not live long enough for their annuity to make a profit versus the level-annuity alternative. OMG! They’ll be dead! And in the meantime, they’ve got all the money they need. In fact, they’re still able to put savings aside for the proverbial rainy day. So why do they care about an alternative universe in which they owned a level annuity and carked it early?

    Anyway, if you’ve time, I’d be interested in your response to that off-load because I know it’ll be a thoughtful one and likely to expand my field of view 🙂

    I’m also intrigued by your “there are many ways to skin this cat” comment. What do you have in mind as alternatives for someone who wanted to eliminate inflation risk from their retirement? You can’t have defined benefit pensions cos they’re not widely available anymore. Also, no products that would be lovely but don’t exist in the UK e.g. deferred annuities 🙂

    I’m scratching my head because I can only think of linkers and escalating annuities topping up the State Pension. What have I missed?

  • 28 Al Cam October 10, 2024, 5:55 pm

    @TA:
    Re: ” … but I still needed to do a lot of work to understand them.”
    Yup I can understand that, and, as I said, it is a “Nice post”.

    Re: “I’m also intrigued by your “there are many ways to skin this cat” comment. What do you have in mind as alternatives for someone who wanted to eliminate inflation risk from their retirement?”

    Firstly, I made no mention of inflation. But seeing as you have brought it up, you can use any type of nominal flooring and couple it with an assumed rate of inflation [profile] of your choice if you want to*. FWIW, this seems to be the way annuities are developing in the UK, and a lot of [non-public sector] UK DB schemes provide capped inflation protection, known as limited price indexation (LPI). WRT flooring products, off the top of my head the choices include: UK government bonds (inc. strips/bullets if you can find enough**); overseas govt bonds; savings bonds (or CD’s as our US cousins like to call them); non-callable corporate debt, annuities (in multiple flavours), guaranteed minimum structured products, and for more sophisticated folks risky assets paired with derivatives.

    *IMO RPI is a flawed measure of inflation;
    **which in some situations eliminate some of the pesky side-effects of using full (principal plus coupons) bonds

    Re: your counter – I may reply later, but please note I am not having a go at you, just pointing out a possible unintended consequence. What in particular I noted was no mention of any alternatives to linkers in the posts and, possibly more worrying, none in the comments either. @ZX’s note on costings was the closest I could find to any challenge/push back and I vaguely recall somebody else mentioned nominal gilts at some point too.

  • 29 Naeclue October 10, 2024, 6:50 pm

    @AlCam, @TA

    I oscillate on the floor and upside thing. Our investments, ages, expected expenditure and bond yields are now such that we could exceed our income requirements through index linked pension annuities and a ladder of linkers.

    At first sight this looks like a sensible thing to do. Why not eliminate all investment and sequence of returns risk if you can afford to? It is tempting, but we choose not to for 2 main, but overlapping, reasons. The first is the value for many point that TA raised. This is very personal, but as TA has said, for us the safe route is poor value and I hate poor value. The second reason is that we feel we are investing for others (charities/beneficiaries) and want to do the best we can for them whilst also being cognisant of having to look after ourselves.

    Over the long term equities are likely to outpace inflation, but in the short term decumulators need to mitigate the sequence of returns risk of equities. That mitigataion can be done using cash deposits and gilts, which is our approach.

    We came very close to buying pension annuities last year, but eventually chose not to. We will consider this again early next year, but I suspect we will come to the same conclusion. The logic is something like this: An annuity is similar to a ladder of linkers plus a longevity guarantee. Instead of an annuity we could build a ladder of linkers for say 25 years and take the risk that will be long enough. Alternatively we could buy a 15 year ladder and leave the rest in equities. The ladder mitigates the sequence of returns risk for 15 years. By that time the equities should have out performed the 11-25 year linker ladder that we could buy now. The shorter ladder + equities is higher risk and absolutely not suitable for everyone, but for us would seem to be better value.

    Again, everyone is different and has different circumstances. Annuitising, or partially annuitising with F&U, might be right for many people.

  • 30 Kelvinho October 10, 2024, 7:08 pm

    @TA re:
    “@ Kelvinho – There’s so much to say on this that I think I need to write a post on it. It’s a great point and also a dilemma that I think hinges a great deal on your personal objectives. Can I ask, does your 80/20 split suggest you’re quite young with some way to go before retirement?”

    perhaps best decribed as middle aged with another 20 years to go before I retire. Personal objectives align with making some adventurous decisions to obtain additional growth.

  • 31 ZXSpectrum48k October 10, 2024, 9:09 pm

    Personally, I think linkers have a solid place in the portfolio.

    Yes, there are clear issues. Inflation indexing only protects against cost of living increases, not standard of living (which requires something that moves with earnings). In the second half of the 20th century, inflating your living expenses with RPI would have seen your relative standard of living fall substantially over a 30 year period. The difference to earnings of around 1-1.5%/annum really compounds up. Moreover, the specific inflation metric, RPI/CPIH etc, is not directly applicable to the individual.

    Nonetheless, in terms of providing a simplistic floor, I see a linker ladder as the obvious choice to reduce the path dependence we see from other more volatile assets. The approach I’m building uses a tapered linker ladder, with maturities up to 30 years to provide a floor. In year 1, it will cover basically 100% of likely expenses but by year 30 that drops to around 25%. The weighted duration is around 15 years or so.

    I see no need at around 50 years of age to buy annuities or use ultra-long linkers (out to 50 years). I do see some value though in hedging near-term path dependence, hedging inflation shocks or hedging a return to negative real yields. I’d also note I own linkers in others countries so as to diversify aways from Gilts.

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