by The Investor on April 4, 2008
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Stock markets have been falling for months, led by a collapse in confidence in the financial system and plunging bank stocks. In the UK we’ve seen Northern Rock crumble, while in the US the investment bank Bear Stearns lived up to its name after jitters led to rumours which led to a run on its assets, ultimately forcing it towards bankruptcy and into the arms of JP Morgan.
I happened to watch some of Washington’s investigations into the Fed-backed buy-up of Bear Sterns on Bloomberg yesterday. The CEOs of both Bear and JP Morgan were there to account for themselves, sitting side-by-side as if in some slow bit of a Shakespearian tragedy. (You can read JP Morgan’s testimony over on Forbes).
I’ve also watched Fed chairman giving evidence in recent months defending his attempts to alleviate the blockage in the credit markets, and his deep cuts in interest rates.
What’s all this mean, apart from that I need to get out more?
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by The Investor on September 18, 2007
Last night Alastair Darling, the UK Chancellor, guaranteed 100% of savings in Northern Rock – and indeed the Financial Services Authority has since gone further, stating this guarantee extends to other troubled financial institutions that might emerge in coming days.
Given the scenes we’ve witnessed since Thursday’s news that Northern Rock required a lifeline from the Bank of England, many will think it’s a good move. And sure, the decision will probably quieten the recent financial upheavals. It will certainly get the government off the hook for now (and to be clear, I don’t believe the government was responsible for the problems in the first place).
But it is without precedent in the UK, and has potentially serious consequences that sound academic but which in extreme cases have previously led to unpleasant upheavals of the blood and barricades variety. What’s worse, the guarantee has for now come without any balancing regulation to ensure the banks do not abuse the facility for their own ends.
At the very least then, a move designed to bring short term confidence to the UK banking system will prove embarrassing for years to come, with consequences for all of us in Britain who save, borrow and spend. Everyone, in other words.
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