Tax relief upfront is the same as tax relief later: Pensions versus ISAs

Pensions versus ISAs from a tax perspective

There is nothing magical about pensions versus ISAs, the UK’s two tax-free savings wrappers, that enables pensions to break the laws of mathematics.

Both pensions and ISAs deliver one-shot tax relief, as well as allowing your savings to grow tax-free.

  • Pensions give you the relief upfront, by rebating the tax you’d otherwise pay on your contributions.
  • ISAs give you the tax break later, since you pay no tax when you cash in your ISA investments.

You’ll often hear people claim that pensions are better than ISAs because upfront relief is more valuable. “You have more money to compound over the years with a pension,” they say, which they claim gives pensions the edge.

But this is wrong – all things being equal.

Now, all things are rarely equal, and I’ll get to that in a minute.

But first the science bit.

Pension versus ISAs: A quick recap

Pensions

  • With a pension, you get tax relief on your contributions.
  • If you pay 40% tax, say, then a £1,000 contribution costs just £600 of taxed income.
  • You pay tax on the money you take out when you retire.

ISAs

  • With an ISA, you get no initial tax relief.
  • Instead, you put some of your taxed salary into the ISA.
  • However, you do not have to pay tax on the money you withdraw later.

Mathematically speaking, there is no difference between these two situations, provided the tax rate is the same.

Proof that ISAs and pensions are the same, maths wise

Here’s some algebra to prove pensions and ISAs are equivalent – all things being equal.

Consider the variables:

  • A lump sum investment of £x
    Tax rate of t%
    Annual growth of i%
    Investment period n years

With an ISA you get no initial tax relief, and you pay no tax on withdrawal.

The formula for how your money compounds over ‘n’ years is therefore simply:

  • ISA = x * (1+i)^n

With a pension you get tax relief of t%, but you also pay t% tax when you withdraw the money later.

The formula for how your money compounds over ‘n’ years is:

  • Pension = x/(1-t) * (1+i)^n * (1-t)

Now, (l-t)/(l-t) cancels out. This leaves us with:

= x * (1+i)^n

Which is exactly the same as the ISA!

This is why some prefer to use the phrase ‘tax deferment’ rather than ‘tax relief’ when talking about pensions. The relief you get upfront is cancelled by the tax you pay later – all things being equal.

A worked example of tax equivalence

Here’s an example of pensions versus ISAs with real numbers.

Consider a higher-rate taxpayer who:

  • Sets aside £1,000 of his gross salary to invest every year
    Pays 40% tax
    Gets 10% a year growth on his investment
    Leaves it to compound for five years
    Draws an income of 5% a year in retirement

With the ISA, he is funding his contributions out of his taxed income.

Higher-rate tax is 40%, so our man’s £1,000 contribution is multiplied by (1-0.4=0.6) to reduce it by 40%, then compounded over 5 years, and then finally, he takes out 5% (so we multiply by 0.05).

  • £1,000×0.6×1.1×1.1×1.1×1.1×1.1x.05 = £48.32

With the pension, our chap can put in the £1,000 from his salary tax-free. However, he must pay 40% tax at the back-end. This time, we get:

  • £1,000×1.1×1.1×1.1×1.1×1.1×0.6×0.05=£48.32

The same!

Important caveat: Things are NOT equal

I’ve shown there’s no difference between an ISA and a pension from a pure maths standpoint.

But I said that was with ‘all things being equal’. And things aren’t equal!

Caveat 1: Lower-rate taxpayer in retirement

Most people pay a lower-rate of tax in retirement (20%). This can make a pension a better option than an ISA for higher-rate taxpayers who will be lower-rate taxpayers in retirement, because the rate they pay on withdrawing the money (20%) will be lower than the relief they got on when they put the money in (40%).

In the worked example above, instead of multiplying by 0.6 to represent the tax on withdrawal, you’d multiply by 0.8, which gives a much higher income of £64.42.

Caveat 2: Tax-free lump sum with a pension

A second important factor is that you can take out a one-off 25% lump sum entirely tax-free with a pension. This means you get tax relief going in, and yet pay no tax on that 25% later – the best of both worlds! Again, this gives pensions an edge over ISAs.

Caveat 3: Employers like pensions

Employers often contribute to pensions, which can be a substantial advantage, and there are National Insurance savings, too. Pensions are also better protected if you lose your job and need to claim benefits.

Pensions versus ISAs: Same but different

Set against these advantages are the restrictions on pensions.

There are strict rules on what you can do with your pension pot, and when and how much you can withdraw from it. With an ISA, you can spend your money how and when you like.

At least nowadays you’ve more choice over how you invest your pension contributions. This has got rid of a big problem suffered by previous generations, who simply made pension fund managers rich!

Today, a cheap, flexible stakeholder or Self Invested Personal Pension based around tracker funds or an ETF portfolio is the best savings vehicle for retirement. (Expensive, poorly-performing pension funds are not!)

ISAs are best used for all-purpose savings, or to back up your pension contributions, or to spread the regulatory risk of government fiddling.

One final, final, caveat: If you’re self-employed, the absence of employer and NI benefits to your pension may mean you prefer to use an ISA first, and plan to top up your pension later. (At least that’s what I do).

For more on all these other issues, subscribe to get my upcoming pensions versus ISAs series.

Filed under: Savings

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{ 14 comments… read them below or add one }

1 ermine April 28, 2010 at 12:17 pm

The higher tax rate/lower tax rate isse is the kicker which makes pesnions more attractive. As you get older, pensions look more attractive too because

you’re closer to seeing the gravy, and less risk of catastrophic societal failure wiping out savings

you’re usually earning more, if you have progressed in your career of gotten more savvy as a freelancer. So you’re more likey to be a higher tax payer

if you’re on PAYE and using salary sacrifice then the NI savings are worth having for a lower rate taxpayer

you can take a tax free lump sum of up to 25% of your pension pot, so if saving in the 5 years before retiring that guaranteed saving of 40%/5 years is a return of 8% p.a. for HRT or 30%/5 = 6%p.a. for SRT

I’d agree, that for younger people in the first half of their career an ISA scores all round, on flexibility if nothing else. But for older people within 10 years of retirement, the pension looks much more attractive. I am not sure that the standard angle of save for a pension as young as possible is a good idea. Saving to that aim, maybe – I’d save in an ISA for the first half of my working life, then a mix, and then switch to pump up the pension savings exclusively in the last 5-10 years…
.-= ermine on: what happened to the middle class in the UK? =-.

2 The Investor April 28, 2010 at 12:47 pm

All good points Ermine. Basically the whole issue is so big I’ve decided to split it out into a series of posts (my first draft was 3000 words!) The danger is boring you all with repetition, but probably helpful as you never know which post someone will see first.

I agree with your ‘event horizon’ suggestion, which is a good point.

While we wait for the next post, I’d add that pensions are pretty much a no brainer if your employer offers matching contributions whatever tax rate you’re on (100% return in a year? Yes please!) with the caveat that if you have zero control over how the money is invested, you need to take a look at how you’re being charged.

It’d take a near-fraudulent/incompetent pension manager to whittle away the benefit of 100% matching contributions, but I’m sure it’s been done once… e.g. Equitable Life… :(

3 drillbit April 28, 2010 at 3:08 pm

I think you’ve missed an important risk factor with pensions which is that the rules constantly change so you should factor this into your calculations
For example:
1970′s to 2002: SERPS
1980′s: Personal Pensions & SIPPs
1990′s: Stakeholder Pensions
2002: S2P replaces SERPS
2000′s: Pensions simplifaction (A day)
2010′s: NEST

A day simplification is now being undone by governments increasing regulations such as restriction on tax relief, changing early retirement rules, etc.

My own opinion is if you’re younger than say mid-40s then the rules will almost certainly be different when you retire and you should be prepared that your justification for pensions being a superior investment than ISAs may come up short. If you’re expecting to get a 25% tax free lump sum forever then I think you’re being naive.

Cash in the hand now is worth a lot more than a vague promise in 25 years time!

4 Simple in France April 28, 2010 at 3:41 pm

I’m not in the UK, but we have some of these same arguments in the US–what tax bracket are you in now, which one will you be in later ? etc.

One thing that I keep coming across is people arguing that tax rates will be higher in 10,20 or 30 years so you will end up paying more than you expected anyway. But I’m not entirely sure I buy that. They can only go up so far . . .
.-= Simple in France on: Radical simplicity, frugality–for couples only? =-.

5 The Investor April 28, 2010 at 7:20 pm

Hi Drillbit. As I said to Faustus above, this article is about tax equivalence, although even then I had to bring in some other issues. I haven’t overlooked regulatory risk — it’s going to have to go in that future article. (I do mention it here, incidentally). This article alone is nearly 1,000 words!

Also (and I don’t expect readers to read all my posts! :) ) this discussion began because another reader asked why I use ISAs not pensions! (The short answer being for the reasons you state). I’m far from niave about Government meddling and share many of your concerns.

That said, I think you’re being naive if you think a future Government couldn’t tweak or even scrap ISAs, equally, or suddenly impose some windfall tax on future withdrawals of 10/20/whatever percent. If they can do it to pensions they can do it to ISAs.

It’s also a fact that as things stand a higher-rate taxpayer with some employer contributions who is a lower-rate taxpayer in retirement is likely to be quids in, by going down the pension route. It’s not hard with a decent company pension to pay £3K of higher tax income to get over £10K straight into your pot (tax relief plus generous employer contributions). Hard to beat that enormous headstart with an ISA.

One can’t really plan for situations that don’t currently exist, but I agree one can spread one’s risk.

Anyway thanks for your comments, which I don’t actually disagree with in principle — quite the opposite!

6 The Investor April 28, 2010 at 7:21 pm

@SIF – Agree, see comments to drillbit and Faustus. If you look at the history since WW2 the overal tax take has crept ever higher, so who knows? Fingers crossed!

7 Thomas Jones April 28, 2010 at 11:22 pm

In the example for the Pension, in reality you’d have to allow for 25% of the fund tax-free as opposed to it all being taxed at 40%.

The 25% tax-free cash isn’t mutually exclusive, you can’t have one without the other.

It’s unliklely that someone wouldn’t take the tax-free cash as 25% of the fund would be taxed when this could be avoided by investing it for maximum tax efficiency e.g. ISA.

£1,000 compounded over 5 years at 10% per annum is £1,610.51. 25% tax-free cash £402.62, placed in a tax efficient vehicle e.g. ISA to generate 5% income = £20.13.

The remaining 75% is taxed at 40% (£1,207.88 x 0.6 = £724.73)

5% income (£724.73 x 0.05 = £36.24)

£20.13 (income generated from tax-free cash) + £36.24 (taxed income) = £56.37.

Its approximately a 16.7% increase in income over the ISA.

If the tax-free cash lump sum was too big to fit in a single year’s ISA allowance it could be phased in for future years and perhaps, put in the spouse’s ISA allowance, where available.

8 The Investor April 29, 2010 at 12:22 am

@Thomas – Agreed, it’s in my caveats. The top part of the article is just addressing the issue of how tax later is same as tax earlier.

Agree the (totally arbitrary) taxfree allowance 25% is a big plus for pensions, as said.

Thanks for doing the maths though!

9 drillbit April 29, 2010 at 1:57 pm

Thanks for replying. You point out that I could be naive in thinking that the ISA regime will change. Yes there’s a risk, but seeing the risk from the position of the politicians we get these arguments:
* 40% tax relief is looking more and more like it’s going to go. It’s in the LibDem manifesto, Aviva in their submission to the government on pensions change wanted to see a harmonised 30% relief, etc. It easy to see how a politician could present this to the public as “fairness” in getting rid of it. See https://www.pensionspolicyinstitute.org.uk/default.asp?p=164 for how higher rate tax payer enjoy the lion’s share of the relief
* the lifetime allowance will dwindle over time. It’s only been around since A day, and yet it’s already being restricted. It’s currently 1.8m and I can already see the “fat cat bankers & their pensions” headlines that could appear.
* the annual allowance isn’t looking too healthy either. Already 50% tax earners have a 20k “anti-forestalling limit”.
* the average pension pot is tiny (https://www.pensionspolicyinstitute.org.uk/default.asp?p=84)
* total tax relief on pensions is around £31 bn which is a useful chunk of change in these troubled times

Contrast this how a government could restrict ISAs. They’re immensely popular, you’ve received no tax benefit on the way, so being taxed for just withdrawing your cash would seem a difficult sell to the public. The main thing I could see is that a politicians could bring in a “lifetime allowance” after which you couldn’t put any more in. Labour tried this when they brought in ISAs but was quickly rejected after the inevitable outcry. (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/money-isa-mortgage-fears-1287380.html)

So yes cover your bases with both vehicles, but my money would be on pensions being attacked first (which may be an argument to enjoy the tax relief whilst it lasts!)

10 Faustus April 29, 2010 at 5:01 pm

I really hope you are right drillbit, and agree that it is easier for future governments to tinker with pensions regulations (which are difficult to understand) than with ISA rules (which are straightforward). For that reason I think public outcry would be much more savage with the latter.

Would be good to know the fiscal cost of these schemes – I also suspect that the Treasury loses far more with pension tax rebates (where the upper limit of contributions is huge) than it does with ISAs (though that difference may diminish as decades pass and people build larger holdings).

In any case, it just doesn’t make sense for the government to penalise savings at a time when we need to reduce dramatically private indebtedness.

11 The Investor April 30, 2010 at 7:36 pm

@Faustus – As a generalisation, I would be willing to bet good money that people in debt (excluding mortgage debt) more vote Labour, and people with savings more vote Conservative. Not everything Governments do are in our best wider interests, sadly. There’s the little matter of pandering to the different constituencies.

(All parties do this IMHO, not just Labour – e.g. The Conservatives crazy-right-now inheritance tax policy – but Labour do it the most directly).

12 The Investor April 30, 2010 at 7:37 pm

@drillbit – I’d just echo what Faustus said, and say thanks for the detail. Will definitely ponder your views and it will likely work into my series on pensions/ISAs for retirement. The popularity point is particularly relevant and I hadn’t fully taken that into account.

13 Ben January 15, 2011 at 10:16 pm

do the recent changes to the pension rules change these arguments significantly?

14 The Investor January 20, 2011 at 12:45 am

@Ben – I believe they do, yes. Pensions are getting ever more flexible and attractive, especially SIPPS, although they’re still not quite as attractive as ISAs in some respects. (Personally, I’d like to see the two regimes combined).

I’ll write a new SIPP article at some point in the next month or so, hopefully.

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