Looking to gain financial freedom by starting your own business? I’d urge caution. Most well-paid employees are better off sticking with their jobs, spending less than they earn, and investing the difference in the markets over the long-term.
Don’t get me wrong: I’m self-employed, and I’d only go back to corporate life as a last resort. I’ve also worked for several start-ups, and co-founded one that’s still in business.
I can confirm that start-up life can be exhilarating, especially if you really believe in your product or service. But as a sensible route to modest wealth, I’m skeptical.
Here are seven things to consider before quitting your day job. If you’re going to take over the world, it surely pays to know your enemy?
1. Your innovative business will almost certainly fail
I know it’s a great idea. I understand you’ve done years of research, talked to friends and family, and maybe even started working on the business in your spare time (good – but watch out for legal claims by your employer).
Will you succeed? If you’re opening a Subway franchise or taking your current skills freelance, perhaps. But if you’ve thought up, say, a new Web technology, then you’re more likely to make a splash in the deadpool.
Like writing a novel, starting a business is easy to do, yet the outcomes are hugely polarized between the handful of highly visible winners and the sunken iceberg of also-rans.
Hundreds of thousands of novels are written every year. A few thousand make it into the bookstores – where only a tiny number remain on sale for years. Similarly, while we all know the success stories, most innovative businesses fail. And while your business is failing, you’re not getting paid – in fact, you’re probably seeing your savings disappear.
This isn’t to decry the idea of starting a company to try something new. It can be an amazing ride, even if you do fail. You’ll learn all kinds of new skills, discover late night takeaway food you never knew existed, make great contacts, and maybe even create something cool.
But statistically speaking, rounding down to two decimal places: there’s next to no chance of an innovative start-up business making you rich.
2. Your start-up business will destroy your life
I don’t mean that being a start-up CEO will kill you (though it might). I mean you can kiss goodbye to your current way of life.
Unless you’re very lucky (as opposed to talented or smart, which aren’t enough to guarantee anything) you’ll work harder at your own company than you’ve ever worked in your life.
Evenings and weekends will become merely annoying breaks where it’s hard to get hold of employees and customers (not that it will stop you trying). The gym? A tax on your good intentions that you’ll pay in January and rue as your weight balloons – assuming you find the time to eat.
If you’re lucky then after a year or two you’ll fail and get a job before the medical, financial or social damage becomes too great. Perhaps you’ll even get a pay rise, thanks to the new skills you’ve learned.
If you’re unlucky you’ll limp along for years, working twice as hard for half your old income, and never getting that reality check.
If you’re really lucky you’ll succeed, and considering pointing out my negative article in a speech at an industry awards dinner. But by then I suspect you’ll know how fortunate you are.
3. You’ll be too busy to make any money
My father used to work with a Cambridge PhD who hadn’t been promoted in a decade. It puzzled my dad, since the guy breezed through his day job with obvious ease.
Did he lack ambition? Had he done something untoward with a senior manager’s wife? No, this man eventually explained to my father: he was just too busy making money to handle a promotion.
I don’t remember how the guy made money exactly – I heard the tale when I was a kid. I think it was stock picking, but it could have been betting on the horses. I do remember though my father explaining with obvious incredulity that his clever workmate admitted he only ever ‘worked’ until his lunch hour. In the morning he’d conscientiously do what was demanded of him by his employer (but no more) and then after lunch he’d concentrate on making real money.
I don’t know if you’d get away with this in today’s office environment (where you need a guidebook just to survive). But if I was still in an office that’s probably what I’d be doing, whether it be researching shares, working on new income streams like an eBay store or god forbid blogging, or simply taking it easy and saving myself the medical expenses of an early heart attack.
Start a business and you can forget all about such freedoms.
A capable friend of mine who runs her own company has spent two years trying to find time to set-up a passive index tracking fund. Don’t think she’s lazy or stupid (though I’ll grant you she’s disorganized). She simply believes she should put some thought into how she’ll invest for the next 20 years, but she hasn’t found or made the ‘headspace’ to do it. (C., if you’re reading here’s why you should invest in an index fund. Again).
At least my friend hasn’t given her funds to a financial advisor to piss down the drain of high charges and chasing hot sectors. I dread to think how many time-starved entrepreneurs have to work twice as hard because they outsource their finances to idiots who whittle away their returns.
4. Friends and family will become tick boxes you ‘do’
- Your husband or wife will give up trying to make dates with you in your own home.
- Your girlfriend and boyfriend won’t be your girlfriend or boyfriend soon enough.
- Your soulmates will be the people you pay at the end of the month.
- A former workmate will show up in a fancy car looking healthy and inviting you to take a rejuvenating weekend break at his new holiday home, which you can’t afford the time to go to, let alone the travel fare, let alone the mortgage.
Okay, I’m exaggerating. A bit. Your spouse may have an affair instead, just in case your company does strike it big.
5. Your talents and skills will wither away
Love writing code? Don’t start a software company. Love writing articles? Don’t start a publishing company. Born to cook? Stay out of restaurants.
The boss of any successful company isn’t the top artist or craftsman. He’s the top sales guy, the rainmaker, the inspirational leader. And that’s fine, unless you love what you’re doing!
The best model for a start-up CEO is Steve Jobs. He’s bright, brilliant, interested in everything but essentially unemployable.
If your job is your vocation and you’re good at it, keep doing it. Don’t trade it in for paperwork and worrying about the bills.
6. You’ll spend all your time dealing with staff issues
Here’s a dirty secret that few business books will tell you: Half of a start-up founder’s time is spent dealing with people.
Ultimately your team is the key asset that will mean success or failure for your company. Unfortunately they are also human beings, so they will:
- Get sick, sometimes seriously
- Have elderly or infant relations who will get sick
- Get sick of someone else on the team
- Believe someone else is jeopardizing the whole project
- Be the person who is jeopardizing the whole project
- Fear they’ve made the wrong move joining your start-up, and take up your and their valuable hours with demands for motivational pep-talks
Perhaps you relish all this. You certainly should if you’re starting a company.
If you don’t, then there are libraries of literature written about how to deal with people effectively. I’m not saying I have the answers – I’m just warning you to get reading. With luck it’ll stop you starting a company in the first place.
7. It will be you who takes out the trash
Hey, Trump Jr., you know that superstar team you’ve recruited? You forget to include someone who’ll manage the company website. Also, there’s no one to sort out the phone lines into the office. An office that has no furniture in it because only you have a company credit card, which means it’s you who has to go shopping for desks and Macs.
Et cetera, et cetera.
Trust me on this – however efficiently and comprehensively you delegate, at some point you’ll empty the bins, clean up the junk mail, and proof read the adverts for a trade magazine.
And then on Tuesday you’ll have to do it all again.
Don’t think this stops when the business takes off; you just get a classier version of the jobs no one else wants. Why? Because those jobs have to be done and it’s YOUR company, so you’ll do them. Quite simply, you’ve got by far the most to lose.
So should you start your own company?
Starting up a company comes with a great undertow of extra work to keep yourself in business, even before your innovative idea has been brought to market.
And don’t think a Venture Capitalist is going to pay for that. Unless you’ve got a proven track record of starting companies (in which case you’re already rich and none of this applies) then a VC will want to see you’ve already put your life into your new company before they’ll invest a cent.
In summary:
- If you truly want to be the next Steve Jobs and you’re prepared to risk being just another Joe Schmoe, then you should start your own business. You only live once.
- If you’ve got a great idea, a desire to change the world, and you truly believe failing would be better than doing nothing, then start a company.
- If nothing less than $10 million in the bank will do and you can’t sing, act, or kick a football amazingly, starting a business might be your only option.
For most of us though, I think a better solution is to save and invest enough money to make your job optional.
Still want to start your own business? Good for you, I wish you the best of luck. I’d also suggest you email this article to your fellow co-founders or employees. Best to shake out the weak before you get started!




{ 9 comments… read them below or add one }
I just want you to know you are a douche for putting this up…I have took the liberty of printing out this blog and putting on my wall for the biggest inspiration to SUCCEED….Meaning obtaining happiness in my business, my family, and with me….POW!
Good luck with your business Warren. I hope you don’t feel the need to insult anyone else on your journey; in my experience such things come back to bite you.
Then again, perhaps you’re in the hip hop game or similar?
Also, writing succeed in capital letters doesn’t guarantee success, just as an FYI.
Hope you learned something from the piece regardless.
There’s only one loser reading on this page and it isn’t The Monevator Warren. Did you even read the essay? You could learn from it. I came here from Neil Patel’s site quicksprout where he wrote a very similar article:
http://www.quicksprout.com/2009/07/28/thinking-about-starting-a-business-here-is-why-you-shouldn%E2%80%99t/
(The Monevator is in the comments).
Neil Patel has made tens of millions btw Warren. Listen and LEARN.
Nobody is saying don’t ever do a business. These guys are saying: know what will happen, and be prepared for it, and don’t do it if you can’t/aren’t.
Great read! Love your writing style, a motivational and de-motivating post at the same . So many points are true. I’m still going for it though!
Oh how right you are, Monevator.
Every start-up book, MBA module and blog should show the power law distribution curve of failure rates, instead of the misjudgements from survivorship bias you mention and availability misweighing bias of focussing on the 1 in 1000 successes.
But where’s the money in a professor starting the MBA entrpreneurship module with “over 90% of you will fail to launch a successful business”?
Jeff Bezos of Amazon.com secured capital from his parents in part by a little lie, saying he had a 70% chance of failing within a few years… he didn’t want to say the truth that it’s 90%+.
Solid franchies, local hairdressers or fish and chip shops have a higher success rate.
But the overconfidence of the average wannabe entrepreneur will ensure they plough all their capital into a hair-brain million dollar mousetrap idea. Capitalism is red in tooth and claw.
I was struggling with this at some point last year, and I eventually decided that the risks were too great in comparison to the rewards. I now lean toward simply passive income, investing wisely, and getting out of the rat race. Far more achievable, and, once I do them, I have a luxury of failing that I simply cannot afford now.
Great post!
.-= Kevin@InvestItWisely on: Precious Metals Are on Fire! =-.
There is an extremely high failure rate in start-up businesses – but that’s not because its extremely hard to succeed, its because it’s extremely hard to succeed if you’re not very good at business.
Followed by all the other reasons “not to go into business” all of which only apply to someone who is failing as a result of there poor business skills.
You say “if you like cooking don’t become a chef” etc. But true business people don’t follow there one dream of cooking/writing code/writing articles, they follow there dream of wanting to succeed and wanting to make money.
Thanks for your comments Martin.
I agree with your last point. I don’t say “if you like cooking, don’t become a chef”. I say “if you like cooking, don’t open a restaurant”. A restaurant is a business…and as you say requires someone who wants to be in business, not somebody who wants to make a nice meal.
Regarding your first point, we’ll have to disagree. I have seen lots of smart business-minded people run failed companies over the past 20 years. I don’t know what your profession is, but if you’ve not been closely involved in business you can get misled by ‘survivorship bias’.
In other words, you see the successful companies run by business-minded people and you can think ‘I need to be business-minded to succeed’. Well, you probably do, but it’s not enough – starting and running a successful business is also down to unpredictable things like luck, personal capacity for pain, sacrifice, and much more.
Been There Done That, and of your points applied to me. 1-7.
Just sharing.
Great article.
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